Thread: 2020 Election
- Thread starter tlwwake
- Start date
Early returns on Florida counties show Biden out performing 2016 Hilary and Trump underperforming 2016 Trump .
it’s very early though
it’s very early though
Florida is looking bad for Trump. Biden is performing well ahead of Hillary in the Tampa area. Pinellas County is where St Pete is, Trump won it last time. Biden is way up this time around.
This election may be well over before it even gets started.
This election may be well over before it even gets started.
Calling it, Biden is going to win, only thing to watch is the Senate races.
Hell don't give up that quick....panhandle of Florida still voting and they are red red red. Unless your putting a reverse mojo on Biden, then carry on.
You guys call things too early.... especially since you have this mix of early and current voting.
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The early votes were mailed in and considered favoring Dem, in many states those numbers reported first. Reps mostly vote day of election, Florida had just reported about 7M vote and getting close to the mail in count and Biden with slim lead, many said he needed a big early lead to counter the walk up Rep vote. Trump far outperforming in Miami than he did 2016.
Fox warned the early mail in votes would break for Biden and then Trump will close. It will come down to the Rep walk up vote today.
Fox warned the early mail in votes would break for Biden and then Trump will close. It will come down to the Rep walk up vote today.
Weird. You guys are talking like Biden is cleaning up in Florida, yet the NYTimes prediction needle has Trump +2.9.
In fact, they give Trump a >95% chance of winning the state.
In fact, they give Trump a >95% chance of winning the state.
I think there will be overly excited who jump the gun tonight on social media and this very forum. For sure. I don't think we will have high confidence on outcome until tomorrow night. Just my opinion.
That's BS, I'm the British banker that dropped $5 million on Trump winning, so I KNOW he will be victorious!
Interesting Note: Trump's pull of Latinos in Florida will likely cost Pelosi two current Dem Seats in FL-27 & 26. I don't expect Trump to flip the House red, but I don't think ANYONE had those seats as being at risk.
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If you believe exit polling data and sampling, the pollsters significantly underestimated the lean of Latino voters for Trump.
I'm calling Florida to Trump. He has to have 4 similar dominoes fall...
Apparently Trump has a lot of support among Floridians who survived socialism.
No shocker here. The real question is by how much and whether that polling miss translates to other states. NYtimes is putting Trump at +3.1. As noted in a post earlier, 538 had Biden up by 1.5 in FL, and RCP had Biden up .9. So you are looking at a 4-5 point polling miss. You apply that miss to poll results from Pennsylvania and suddenly its a statistical dead heat and NC, OH, and IA become comfortable wins.
So all those polls having Biden winning Florida.... yeah, about that.
Trump just passed Biden in Texas in total votes with plenty of rural votes still to head his direction. Maybe next time Libs😂
Fox predicting a pick up of 5 seats for the Dims in the House
Florida is done. As well as North Carolina and Georgia. And of course Texas.
