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Nov 5, 2024: Trump vs Kamala

lol, wow, why are you dodging this simple question wake? It isn't a hard question. All I need from you is a yes or no answer.

So again, will you accept the election results if Harris wins without claiming the election was stolen? Yes or no?
Yes absolutely I will. As I’ve never indicated any else which is a weird thing for you to continue to press me on.

Will you accept the results if Trump wins?
 
Do you think he has a better shot in NH or Virginia?
I will say VA just cause I haven't seen any EV data from NH. There's a couple of accounts on Twitter I am following for VA, one swears Kamala will win by 3-4 points, the other swears Trump will win and the changes to the laws that have been made since 2020 will be the difference.

Personally I am not counting on either of them, but I think worst case would be a Harris by 3-4 points. Either or both are very winnable for Trump IMO.

What do you think?
 
I will say VA just cause I haven't seen any EV data from NH. There's a couple of accounts on Twitter I am following for VA, one swears Kamala will win by 3-4 points, the other swears Trump will win and the changes to the laws that have been made since 2020 will be the difference.

Personally I am not counting on either of them, but I think worst case would be a Harris by 3-4 points. Either or both are very winnable for Trump IMO.

What do you think?
I’m thinking NH based on early vote data and Dem turn out thus far. Hoping he can get one of them!
 
Do you think he has a better shot in NH or Virginia?
He doesn't have a shot in either. Harris will win both.

Trump is worried about NC right now and that is where you should be focused right now, instead of allowing yourself to be misled. NC and PA, also GA. Trump's campaign probably knows they have lost Wisconsin and Michigan too.
 
He doesn't have a shot in either. Harris will win both.

Trump is worried about NC right now and that is where you should be focused right now, instead of allowing yourself to be misled. NC and PA, also GA. Trump's campaign probably knows they have lost Wisconsin and Michigan too.
From a few sources (Mark Halperin) they feel decent on Wisconsin. I think he has little chance in Michigan I agree.
 
Not really.

I actually thought about giving Iowa to Harris in my EC prediction due to some of the chatter I've been hearing about it. But I was waiting on the final Des Moines Register poll along with some other pieces of evidence I haven't seen yet. That is why, btw, I was disagreeing with your labeling of my prediction as "bold." There are other states I could have given to Harris that I didn't. Iowa being one of them.

I'm still not prepared yet to give Iowa to Harris but that poll is definitely good news for her. It also just continues a trend we are seeing here late for the Harris campaign.
 
Not really.

I actually thought about giving Iowa to Harris in my EC prediction due to some of the chatter I've been hearing about it. But I was waiting on the final Des Moines Register poll along with some other pieces of evidence I haven't seen yet. That is why, btw, I was disagreeing with your labeling of my prediction as "bold." There are other states I could have given to Harris that I didn't. Iowa being one of them.

I'm still not prepared yet to give Iowa to Harris but that poll is definitely good news for her. It also just continues a trend we are seeing here late for the Harris campaign.
It’s an outlier based on most other polling so pretty surprising
 
From a few sources (Mark Halperin) they feel decent on Wisconsin. I think he has little chance in Michigan I agree.
Who feels decent on Wisconsin according to Halperin? Trump or Harris? Everything I'm hearing and seeing is that the Harris campaign feels good about Wisconsin and that the Trump campaign doesn't.

And you agree that Trump isn't going to win Michigan?
 
Who feels decent on Wisconsin according to Halperin? Trump or Harris? Everything I'm hearing and seeing is that the Harris campaign feels good about Wisconsin and that the Trump campaign doesn't.

And you agree that Trump isn't going to win Michigan?
Yes, I’ve said that a few times. Trump has slim to no chance to win Michigan by all the accounts I follow
 
@my_2cents is Selzer a credible pollster?
The Des Moines Register poll is a credible poll that everyone always looks at late as it relates to Iowa elections. Everyone has been waiting on this poll for a few days now.

What I find interesting about the poll is what it tells us about what women are doing. It fits what we are seeing nationally and in other states.
 
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The Des Moines Register poll is a credible poll that everyone always looks at late as it relates to Iowa elections. Everyone has been waiting on this poll for a few days now.

What I find interesting about the polls is what it tells us about what women are doing. It fits what we are seeing nationally and in other states.
Abortion save yer life?
 
It’s an outlier based on most other polling so pretty surprising
Not really. There has been some chatter about Iowa recently.

Again, you need to start recognizing Republican-leaning polling that may not be accurate but is simply meant to flood the polling data to create a certain narrative v/s polls like The Des Moines Register poll. This is why I made my polling comment to you earlier.
 
Not really. There has been some chatter about Iowa recently.

Again, you need to start recognizing Republican-leaning polling that may not be accurate but is simply meant to flood the polling data to create a certain narrative v/s polls like The Des Moines Register poll. This is why I made my polling comment to you earlier.
Toof fairy ain't real.
 
Yes, I’ve said that a few times. Trump has slim to no chance to win Michigan by all the accounts I follow
I agree.

I'm also seeing and hearing the Harris campaign feeling good about Wisconsin while the Trump campaign isn't. Who were you claiming feels decent on Wisconsin?
 
The Des Moines Register poll is a credible poll that everyone always looks at late as it relates to Iowa elections. Everyone has been waiting on this poll for a few days now.

What I find interesting about the polls is what it tells us about what women are doing. It fits what we are seeing nationally and in other states.
What percentage of respondents were female and what percentage were male?

What percentage were pubs, Dems and indies?
 
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