Recently, Gallup announced that party affiliation is R+1 in this country. For the first time since 1984, more people self identify as Republican than Democrat.
Keep that in mind whenever you view any future polls. If they are done accurately, then they should sample more pubs than Dems.
With that in mind....the latest poll from Marist college:
Marist says Kamala is up by 5 points.
However....they sampled Dems at +7, when they should have sampled pubs at +1.
Also, note that even with a +7 oversample of Dems, Kamala is only up by 5 points. That means some of the Dems they polled actually support Trump. Kamala is LOSING DEM VOTERS TO TRUMP.
So if they had actually sampled R+1 as they should have, that would have likely been a 10-point swing for Trump.
So the real poll results are Trump +5, the fake ones are Kamala +5.
Here's the best part: 538, Nate Silver's old outfit, ranked Rasmussen as the 5th most accurate pollster in 2020, and Marist as the 10th most accurate.
Yet for their latest polls, Nate in his model has MARIST weighed higher than Rasmussen. He is giving more influence to the 10th most accurate pollster than the 5th most accurate.
Why? My guess is it's because Rasmussen typically has Trump winning the national and swing state polls.
This is how they lie to you about Kamala's support in this race. She isn't winning, she is losing. Badly.
Keep that in mind whenever you view any future polls. If they are done accurately, then they should sample more pubs than Dems.
With that in mind....the latest poll from Marist college:
Marist says Kamala is up by 5 points.
However....they sampled Dems at +7, when they should have sampled pubs at +1.
Also, note that even with a +7 oversample of Dems, Kamala is only up by 5 points. That means some of the Dems they polled actually support Trump. Kamala is LOSING DEM VOTERS TO TRUMP.
So if they had actually sampled R+1 as they should have, that would have likely been a 10-point swing for Trump.
So the real poll results are Trump +5, the fake ones are Kamala +5.
Here's the best part: 538, Nate Silver's old outfit, ranked Rasmussen as the 5th most accurate pollster in 2020, and Marist as the 10th most accurate.
Yet for their latest polls, Nate in his model has MARIST weighed higher than Rasmussen. He is giving more influence to the 10th most accurate pollster than the 5th most accurate.
Why? My guess is it's because Rasmussen typically has Trump winning the national and swing state polls.
This is how they lie to you about Kamala's support in this race. She isn't winning, she is losing. Badly.