Nov 5, 2024: Trump vs Kamala
- Thread starter tlwwake
- Start date
If you’re believing polls you’re not a student of history.
2016 Trump outperformed by 9% nationally, 2020 he outperformed polling by 5% (assuming you think the election was totally clean).
In 2016 he was down 17pts in WI and won the state.
Did you notice in the last few weeks Trump surged? Ever think to ask yourself why?
Here are the polymarket odds
Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Predictions
2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
polymarket.com
Bet on Harris and make a ton IF she won. 66.9 trump and Kamala 33.1
She didn't get the nickname heels up Harris for nothing. Oh that was for something else.
I always think of the Sooners as left wing dip shits but we got Tony Casillas on our side
I'm actually a little worried. All Kamala has to do is hold her blue wall and grab the single elector from Nebraska, and all 3 blue wall states have made it "easier to vote" in the last 4 years (aka, easier to cheat, as we see going on in Pennsylvania already). That, along with her more comfortable leftist states gets her 270 on the nose. Trump flipping just Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona from 2020 isn't enough. He has to win won of those northern 3 or pull off a miracle win somewhere else (NM, Virginia, or NH).
Pennsylvania has been a screwing state for early voting because they do like 3 weeks of early voting (highly favors Dems) but only 1 week of early, in-person voting (strongly favors Reps), which until yesterday or today, hadn't started. So the past week's numbers have been totally skewed to the Dem side. And now that in-person is over, you'll see huge jumps in the Rep numbers, but the timing gap makes it hard to compare their turnout percentages against other states.
He’s in good shape in Wisconsin. Will all come down to independents in the 7 swing states
Do they vote on economy? Or do they hear the fear with abortion bans and vote Kamala?
