Nov 5, 2024: Trump vs Kamala

[my_2cents]

am I the only one that thinks the RJK thing doesn’t mean a whole lot for the election? He was polling pretty low and most (if not all) know this is a binary choice

Any differing opinions?

I agree with you.

Jr.'s numbers have been decreasing ever since Biden dropped out. He was losing support to Harris and the minor support he was maintaining was hurting Trump (Trump thinks). That's why he dropped out (in the battleground states that is lol!). Jr. was always in this race to help Trump. When Biden dropped out, the race changed and Jr.'s presence no longer helped Trump.

Jr. had become irrelevant (if he ever was relevant). So he finally dropped the act and showed who was really behind his campaign to start with. Not surprising at all.

 

[Havlicek65]

am I the only one that thinks the RJK thing doesn’t mean a whole lot for the election? He was polling pretty low and most (if not all) know this is a binary choice

Any differing opinions?

Yes.

 

[tlwwake]

Yes.

How so? Interested in how this moves the needle for Nov 5

 

[Havlicek65]

There were 6.7 million presidential votes on Pennsylvania in 2020. RFK is polling at 5 percent and about 2/3 is expected to break Dons way. That is right at 110,000 net votes for Trump. In an election this close, that is material.

 

[tlwwake]

There were 6.7 million presidential votes on Pennsylvania in 2020. RFK is polling at 5 percent and about 2/3 is expected to break Dons way. That is right at 110,000 net votes for Trump. In an election this close, that is material.

Good points. I just wonder of that 5%.. how many will vote on November 5. But even if it’s 3%, it certainly doesn’t hurt

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

How so? Interested in how this moves the needle for Nov 5

I think RFK Jr's support is more about what it sets up the rest of the way. I wouldn't isolate it to thinking about impact on November 5th. It's about building momentum.

 

[my_2cents]

RFK is polling at 5 percent and about 2/3 is expected to break Dons way.

And what happens if they don't break that way? What happens if they continue to move towards Harris like a lot of Jr.'s support has being doing? Or if they find another third party candidate to vote for? Or don't vote.

 

[my_2cents]

I think RFK Jr's support is more about what it sets up the rest of the way. I wouldn't isolate it to thinking about impact on November 5th. It's about building momentum.

I agree with this.

What Trump is trying to do here is stop Harris' momentum. He is trying to put a dent in a potential post-Convention polling bump for Harris. This is about momentum. Trump is desperate at the moment and needs something to change the dynamics of this race.

Problem is for Trump, this isn't going to do that.

 

[tlwwake]

Harris leading Trump by 7 points: Poll

Vice President Harris holds a 7-point edge over former President Trump nationally in a new poll, marking the latest gain for the Democratic presidential candidate as the general election approaches…

thehill.com

 

[2012Bearcat]

am I the only one that thinks the RJK thing doesn’t mean a whole lot for the election? He was polling pretty low and most (if not all) know this is a binary choice

Any differing opinions?

I don't think it makes a major difference but it is a huge slap in the face of Democrats and will make some of the independents and maybe some of the still somewhat sane Democrat voters think. It means nothing to the leftist who are gleefully marching down the road to authoritarian socialism.

 

[GunsOfFrankEaton]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[OUSOONER67]

 

[2012Bearcat]

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Leftist speak of tolerance it's tolerance for me not for thee.

 

[OKSTATE1]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

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That chart honestly looks about normal. 2020 the media panicked everyone to vote via mail so of course mail in ballots were way up. And they have fallen for both pubs and dems at almost the same percentage. If they had fallen more for dems, then it would be noteworthy.

 

[driad]

am I the only one that thinks the RJK thing doesn’t mean a whole lot for the election? He was polling pretty low and most (if not all) know this is a binary choice

Any differing opinions?

 

[tlwwake]

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Hope that’s accurate! Love Caitlin Clark

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[OUSOONER67]

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She has sucked the most cock so in Dim Terms she is the most Qualified. Strange how the lovers of LGBTQ wouldn't force Mayor Pete on them istead if thats the case. 🤣🤣🤣

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[Tulsaaggieson]

am I the only one that thinks the RJK thing doesn’t mean a whole lot for the election? He was polling pretty low and most (if not all) know this is a binary choice

Any differing opinions?

Yes, I have a different opinion. Jr voters in swing states can move the needle. You are thinking popular vote, you have to look electoral. If you do the races in the swing states are tight. Jr brings enough voters to make a difference. Remember, most of the Dem voters for Jr already left his camp for Kamala.

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[killmnl]

At home conversation that does impact Senate balance of power.

Jon Tester is running scared right now relative to reelection. He will not endorse Harris in her presidential bid even though he supported her in the Senate and as Biden's running mate.

Key senator reportedly behind Harris' rise to power withholds his endorsement for president

Sen. Jon Tester of Montana revealed the two reasons he will not be making an endorsement in the presidential race where Vice President Harris is the Democratic nominee.

www.foxnews.com

The citizens of Montana are pissed relative to his support and the backing of the Biden/Harris administration. PACs supporting Tester are now throwing the kitchen sink of negative commercials about Sheehy versus Tester trying to speak of his Senatorial history the last three and half years. Tester is going to die on the vine and I am not sure there is anything he can do.

 

[EZ Reyes]

Colin Allred is within 2 1/2 points of Ted Cruz in Texas. Cruz's campaign has been dismal if not non-existent. Money issues?

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[2012Bearcat]

Colin Allred is within 2 1/2 points of Ted Cruz in Texas. Cruz's campaign has been dismal if not non-existent. Money issues?

Collin Allred is not going to win Texas no matter how much money he spends lying to the people of Texas.

 

[tlwwake]

 

[tlwwake]

 

[EZ Reyes]

Collin Allred is not going to win Texas no matter how much money he spends lying to the people of Texas.

Why not? Beto the fake Mexican almost did it in '18.

 

[2012Bearcat]

Why not? Beto the fake Mexican almost did it in '18.

not happening

 

[N. Pappagiorgio]

Why not? Beto the fake Mexican almost did it in '18.

51-48 but yes almost within cheating range.