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A textbook example of how the left uses polls to interfere in the election

Oct 31, 2022
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Recently, Gallup announced that party affiliation is R+1 in this country. For the first time since 1984, more people self identify as Republican than Democrat.

Keep that in mind whenever you view any future polls. If they are done accurately, then they should sample more pubs than Dems.

With that in mind....the latest poll from Marist college:


Marist says Kamala is up by 5 points.

However....they sampled Dems at +7, when they should have sampled pubs at +1.

Also, note that even with a +7 oversample of Dems, Kamala is only up by 5 points. That means some of the Dems they polled actually support Trump. Kamala is LOSING DEM VOTERS TO TRUMP.

So if they had actually sampled R+1 as they should have, that would have likely been a 10-point swing for Trump.

So the real poll results are Trump +5, the fake ones are Kamala +5.

Here's the best part: 538, Nate Silver's old outfit, ranked Rasmussen as the 5th most accurate pollster in 2020, and Marist as the 10th most accurate.

Yet for their latest polls, Nate in his model has MARIST weighed higher than Rasmussen. He is giving more influence to the 10th most accurate pollster than the 5th most accurate.

Why? My guess is it's because Rasmussen typically has Trump winning the national and swing state polls.

This is how they lie to you about Kamala's support in this race. She isn't winning, she is losing. Badly.
 
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Hey @my_2cents your boy Nate is really struggling right now.

Even after 7-10 days of absolutely brutal polls for Kamala after her botched Helene response, Nate is desperately trying to say the race hasn't moved, still a toss up. Which somehow means Kamala is still ahead.

Last night's trainwreck of a Fox interview will be reflected in the polls by early next week, which will make it even harder for Nate to spin that this race is a 'toss up'.

Everyone loves Trump. Who will be at the Al Smith dinner tonight. And since he will be, Kamala has refused to show up.
 
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