Was just watching the news and they said McCarthy has set the bar at +20 for tonight.
The historical average us +31 for the opposing party during midterms.
20 sounds sounds like a pretty low bar.
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Was just watching the news and they said McCarthy has set the bar at +20 for tonight.
The historical average us +31 for the opposing party during midterms.
20 sounds sounds like a pretty low bar.
So, some early thoughts without having dug into the numbers that deeply. A lot here is based on early perceptions, but in politics, perception is often reality.If you have an opinion, spit it out.
You needed to wait till morning to come up with these thoughts? I can see why SI calls you part of the "slow 10".So, some early thoughts without having dug into the numbers that deeply. A lot here is based on early perceptions, but in politics, perception is often reality.
(1) Turnout. Democrats were able to match or come close to matching Republican enthusiasm. This was big for Democrats, especially in President Biden's first midterm where historically speaking, Republicans should have trounced Democrats on turnout.
(2) Women and young voters turned out to back Democrats, from what I've heard. Again, haven't dug into the numbers on this, but Democrats seem to have gotten what they needed here to blunt a big election for Republicans. It also appears from exit polls that Democrats won Independents, but it was close.
(3) Abortion. Definitely played a role. Republicans just aren't where a strong majority of Americans are on this issue. Dobbs is both a bad decision and a major political blunder. The reaction to Dobbs by Republicans only made it worse.
(4) Trump. He is a drag on the Republican Party right now. This was not a good election for him. Republicans have a big problem on their hands with him. A problem of their own making.
(5) Biden. This election seems, at this point, to essentially be a stay the course election. Which is good news for Biden and says something. Historically speaking, Biden had a good night. If Republicans had won big, everyone would be blaming Biden this morning. However, the fact Republicans didn't, says something about Biden too, especially (again) when historical trends are considered. This election is only going to help Biden's standing with Democrats and it may tamp down, for now, discussions of him not running again. Personally, I'm impressed with what Democrats, under Biden, was able to do last night, historically speaking. I may even have to reconsider my opinion on Biden running again.
Hang in there.You needed to wait till morning to come up with these thoughts? I can see why SI calls you part of the "slow 10".
Speaks volumes.Morning Joe is a guilty pleasure of mine.
A little good news. We will have the House. The Senate will be 50-49 with a GeoRiga runoff upcoming. If (big if) Trump will stay out of Georgia & let Kemp & Desantis campaign with Hershel along with no Libertarian, that should get us to 51. Also we kicked ass in state! Which I was concerned about. So not all sucks.
For Trump and his gullible followers (@2012Bearcat @Sunburnt Indian @Corndog2021 etc.), here is how you lose with class and dignity in our country . . .
He was fully cleated up when his campaign chief explained to him what that actually meant.Georgia AG just on with Kilmeade. Georgia will be going to run off. Not enough votes out for either to get to 50%. Run Hershel run.
weak.I don’t doubt you’re a good and gracious loser.
You get a lot of practice.
God you are like a squealing junior high cheerleader.For Trump and his gullible followers (@2012Bearcat @Sunburnt Indian @Corndog2021 etc.), here is how you lose with class and dignity in our country . . .
BoomI don’t doubt you’re a good and gracious loser.
You get a lot of practice.
Talk about weak.He was fully cleated up when his campaign chief explained to him what that actually meant.
Is that tiny little tear running down your cheek?Cute
He's been winning so much, it's probably tears of joy.Is that tiny little tear running down your cheek?
Is that tiny little tear running down your cheek?
Oooofffaaah. Embarrassing for you clowns.He's been winning so much, it's probably tears of joy.
Is that tiny little tear running down your cheek?
He's been winning so much, it's probably tears of joy.
Which side will you come down on: Trump or DeSantis? Or is there a retarded, wanna-be nazi running that I don't know about?Go on.
Which side will you come down on: Trump or DeSantis? Or is there a retarded, wanna-be nazi running that I don't know about?
It's curious that Sys and Cliff want you to tell which "side" you come down on, Trump or DeSantis, when they say both of them are on the same side.The informed side.
It's curious that Sys and Cliff want you to tell which "side" you come down on, Trump or DeSantis, when they say both of them are on the same side.