The problem with Texas is that they gave Liberals a foothold. Austin became California lite, so suddenly all the leftist Democrats who had completely shit upon and ruined California had a new, great place to go and shit upon. And so Texas, while getting the California migrants, isn't getting the Red-card carrying ones. Its mostly getting the Blue-card carrying ones. Meanwhile the Red card carrying ones are moving to Idaho, Wyoming, or to Florida. Those states are seeing booming growth from people migration that's being matched by booming growth in Republican voter registrations. And Texas is losing its Red-card carrying members in the process. My neighborhood (Florida) has 109 houses in it. I don't claim to know everyone. But I know of 15, myself included, that have moved from Texas to here and brought their Red politics with them. Its why Florida is no longer a swing state.
