Podesta on Polls, Over-Sampling
- Thread starter Marshal Jim Duncan
- Start date
I think there is a lot to this.
I've been reading up on how the IBD/TIPP poll weighs its results.
They ask approximately 750 likely voters who they will vote for. 250 dem, 250 republican and 250 independent.
They then weigh each according to their anticipated breakdown of the voters. So IBD/TIPP assumes 37% dem, 29% republican and 34% independent. Their poll based on that weighted breakdown has consistently shown Trump up 2-4.
The actual 2012 election was 38% dem, 32% republican, and 29% independent.
I've been reading up on how the IBD/TIPP poll weighs its results.
They ask approximately 750 likely voters who they will vote for. 250 dem, 250 republican and 250 independent.
They then weigh each according to their anticipated breakdown of the voters. So IBD/TIPP assumes 37% dem, 29% republican and 34% independent. Their poll based on that weighted breakdown has consistently shown Trump up 2-4.
The actual 2012 election was 38% dem, 32% republican, and 29% independent.
