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If I'm being honest...I'm not seeing 149 as an AA yet. But he is improving almost daily.If we can get AA at 125, 141, 149, 157, 165, 174, 184 and 285...we might win this sucker!
I agree Big D.
I don't think Nico makes it now? He could, but his ranking appears accurate. Other than that, Nolf, Retherford and Mcintosh are likely locks for the Finals. With that being the case, if Collica and Boyd can Wrestle up and make the podium, along with everybody else Wrestling to rank, I think we have a punchers chance without benefitting from upsets outside of our own guys.
125 - 4 vs. 5-8
131 - r12 vs. no placement
141 - no placement vs. Champ
149 - Champ vs. 7-8
157 - Champ vs. 3
165 - no placement vs. Champ
174 - who knows here? Finals vs. 5-6
184 - no placement vs. 7-8
197 - Champ vs. no placement
285 - no placement vs. 3
If it shakes out like that PSU has 3 Champs to our two and we have 8 AAs to their 5. I am willing to make a few predictions here, PSU doesn't AA at 184 or get a champ at 174. Also, I think Smith beats Nolf at the next meeting.
Taking your projections with some quick point estimates I've go 92.0 to 99.5. You might be a little biased and I down graded PSU 157 to 2nd (don't think he will win). What you are missing is if PSU's 285 gets in, although untested he could score 6-8 pts, thus back to even with you perhaps optimistic est. I still say the 157 & 174 where there's a good chance of direct matchup, or at least close placement, it will make a huge difference if OSU out places PSU at both those weights. The KC issue might make that less likely.
PSU
wt pl pts
125 4 12
133 r12 3
141 - 1
149 1 21
157 2 17
165 - 1.5
174 2 16
184 - 0.5
197 1 20
285 - 0
total 92.0
OSU
wt pl pts
125 5 10
133 - 1
141 1 19
149 7 6.5
157 3 14
165 1 22
174 5 10
184 7 6.5
197 - 0.5
285 3 10
total 99.5