Oklahoma State football way-too-early, game-by-game predictions for 2024 Cowboys season
Scott Wright Jacob UnruhThe Oklahoman
STILLWATER — Sportsbooks have low expectations for Oklahoma State in the coming football season.
The BetMGM online sportsbook set OSU’s win total at 7.5 games, matching five other Big 12 teams for the fourth-most projected wins.
Utah, Kansas State and Kansas are all projected to win more, while Texas Tech, Arizona, Iowa State, Central Florida and TCU are also pegged for 7.5 wins.
Looking closer, the Cowboys have the seventh-best odds to win the Big 12 title, behind favorites Utah and Kansas State (each at +350), followed by Kansas, Arizona, Texas Tech and Iowa State. UCF and OSU have the same odds for the title at +1200.
Here are The Oklahoman’s way-too-early picks for every game on the OSU schedule:
Aug. 31: vs. South Dakota State, 1 p.m. (ESPN+)
Scott Wright: SDSU went 8-5 in 2019 and 8-2 in the COVID-impacted 2020 season — a respectable winning percentage of 69.6% over two years. That’s what OSU was looking at in 2021 when officials worked to put this game on the books. Not the back-to-back FCS champions with a 29-game winning streak who will come to town for the season opener in August. The Pokes win this game, but fans are right to be a tad nervous. This isn’t your typical lower-division cakewalk.Jacob Unruh: I just want to start by saying that this game is going to be hot. I mean, scorching hot. A mid-day kickoff on the final day of August could mean the temperatures coming off the turf will be astronomical. Think the glass thermometer on a cartoon hitting the max spot and then shattering. But, that is likely an advantage for the Pokes, if it can even be labeled that. With Ollie Gordon II and a veteran offensive line eager to prove last season was no fluke, wearing d own South Dakota State will be key in the victory.
Sept. 7: vs. Arkansas, 11 a.m. (ABC)
Wright: Expectations are not high for the Hogs. The same sportsbook that predicted OSU to win 7.5 games has Arkansas at 4.5. Yes, it’s an SEC team with high-level size and strength and talent. But with the first-week rust knocked off, OSU should take care of a double-digit win.Unruh: It's been 44 years since the old regional rivals last squared off in a series that began in 1914 and was dominated by the Razorbacks. But the past is the past. Arkansas, even in the SEC, is not a dominant force. The Cowboys are quite a different program now, too. OSU will roll in this one.
Sept. 14: at Tulsa, 11 a.m. (ESPN2)
Wright: Second-year coach Kevin Wilson seems to be doing a lot of things well at Tulsa, but even on the home field, this won’t be easy. It could be the type of game where Ollie Gordon II posts a rushing total that has folks buzzing the rest of the day. Chalk up another W.Unruh: You and I were there when Chuba Hubbard ran all over H.A. Chapman Stadium. Tulsa has improved since then but that's not enough. Gordon likely has a huge game. But I'd watch out for Brennan Presley. It's his final game in his hometown and it's opposite his little brother Braylin. Expect fireworks in a rout for OSU.
Sept. 21: vs. Utah
Wright: Welcome to the new Big 12. This could be a preview of the conference title game or it could be the moment that sends one of the league’s contenders down the wrong path. Seems like the former is more likely. But this is a particularly dangerous game for OSU defensive coordinator Bryan Nardo going against an established program with a veteran quarterback. Coach Kyle Wittingham and the Utes will have something special in store for the OSU defense and pull off the win at Boone Pickens Stadium.Unruh: Utah quarterback Cameron Rising has played football nearly as long as OSU's Alan Bowman. But Rising also missed all of last season with a knee injury. What kind of player will he be? At this point, will he regain the form that made him so dynamic in 2022? He's the kind of quarterback who gives OSU's defense fits when healthy. I expect the Cowboys' defense to improve under second-year coordinator Bryan Nardo. But this will be the first big challenge. Give me OSU in a squeaker since the game is in BPS, though I'm not confident in that just yet.
Sept. 28: at Kansas State
Wright: It was against Kansas State last year that OSU turned its season around with the Friday night victory after a 2-2 start. While recent trips to purple purgatory haven’t been friendly to the Cowboys, this team has a different mindset — one that can overcome the struggles of the past in the Little Apple. OSU escapes with a thrilling road win.Unruh: Memories of that 2022 game in the Little Apple are still on my mind. And this is the second straight game against a Big 12 title contender. OSU isn't going to come out unscathed in that stretch. Give me the Wildcats, though in a lot closer game than two years ago.
Oct. 5: vs. West Virginia
Wright: Back at home and coming off a big win, this feels like a spot where the Cowboys might look a little sluggish. But not sluggish like the 2022 West Virginia game. Still lively enough for a win.Unruh: Not even the return of former receiver Jaden Bray is enough to overpower the Cowboys, who will recover from a disappointing trip to Kansas State in style with a big home win.
