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Sagarin Football Rankings-The Top 10

Jeff’s computer rankings are:

Georgia
Alabama
Ohio State
Michigan
Oklahoma State
Norte Dame
OU
Clemson
Cincy
Baylor

He ranks two teams with with the Top 10 toughest schedules in that group. Oklahoma State had the toughest at number 4 in the country, and Alabama at number 7. No other Top 10 teams had a Top 10 schedule.

His rankings are amazingly accurate. Vegas uses them to set odds.

This should be required reading re: Covid, lockdowns, etc.

From a Wall Street Journal report:

Now She Tells Us​

CDC director Rochelle Walensky suddenly emphasizes relative risks.​




By
James Freeman Follow


Jan. 10, 2022 2:43 pm ET

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Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, testifies before the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions committee on Capitol Hill in November.​



Amid a mounting pile of unfulfilled Biden promises on Covid, from his pledge to shut down the virus to his assurance of abundant testing, the president’s favorite experts are suddenly sharing relevant facts that were too inconvenient to emphasize during his predecessor’s administration. Last week this column noted that two years, $4 trillion of federal debt and millions of isolated children too late, White House Covid czar Dr. Anthony Fauci has discovered the massive costs of pandemic restrictions. Now we have Dr. Rochelle Walensky, head of the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, implicitly making the case for a strategy she once disparaged.
On Friday, ABC’s “Good Morning America” program touted research showing that Covid vaccines are highly effective in preventing severe illness and then asked the CDC director: “Given that, is it time to start rethinking how we’re living with this virus, that it’s probably here to stay?” Dr. Walensky responded:
The overwhelming number of deaths, over 75%, occurred in people who had at least 4 comorbidities. So really these are people who were unwell to begin with and yes, really encouraging news in the context of Omicron.
Dr. Walensky seems to have been trying to make the point that the vast majority of people do not face as great a risk as one would think from listening to Covid-era apocalyptic forecasts from people like her.
Sure, it may be hard to forget her unscientific March 2021 declaration at a White House briefing:

I’m going to reflect on the recurring feeling I have of impending doom.

Then there was her decision that the threat could somehow be addressed by issuing an unconstitutional ban on evictions. But if Dr. Walensky has since gotten a hold of herself and is now trying to enhance understanding of the threats people face, that would be progress.
Her CDC website notes that close to 95% of death certificates listing Covid as a cause also mention other causes along with Covid and states:
For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 4.0 additional conditions or causes per death.
Unfortunately, in her Friday ABC interview, Dr. Walensky’s phrasing of the “encouraging news” about modest risk for many Americans sparked an online backlash as some interpreted the remarks as callous toward those at high risk. Kamau Bell of HBO and CNN tweeted, “I counted up my comorbidities. Now I can let my family know that if I die from COVID it is ‘encouraging.’ ”
On Sunday Dr. Walensky tweeted:
We must protect people with comorbidities from severe #COVID19. I went into medicine – HIV specifically – and public health to protect our most at-risk. CDC is taking steps to protect those at highest risk, incl. those w/ chronic health conditions, disabilities & older adults.
Fair enough, but this recognition that some face great risk from Covid while others face much lower risk has been obvious from the start. In response, a group of accomplished and wise scientists crafted the Great Barrington Declaration in 2020 to promote a ”focused protection” strategy—taking great care to shield those at high risk while allowing the vast majority who are at low risk to continue working, learning and doing all the things that sustain life. This sensible prioritization sounds very much like what Dr. Walensky is suggesting in her Sunday tweet.
Yet back in 2020, when President Trump found the idea appealing Dr. Walensky joined the politically correct establishment in dismissing the Great Barrington doctors and researchers as operating on the academic fringe.
Whether she ever retracts her 2020 comments or not, Dr. Walensky should now act on her new insight, focus on protecting the vulnerable, and stop demanding ideal conditions and masks in schools, where children are not at great risk.

***
A number of online commenters responded to last Monday’s column by claiming that it was unfair to criticize Dr. Fauci’s disastrous lockdown medicine with the benefit of hindsight. But this column was a lockdown skeptic from the very start of the pandemic, warning as early as March 10, 2020, that any proposed virus countermeasures should be subject to analysis of costs and benefits. The refusal of officials like Dr. Fauci to consider the staggering costs and questionable benefits of their prescriptions will haunt today’s children for the rest of their lives.

Speaking of Monkeys and Footballs.......

I wonder if they still wanted to f*ck it?

Watching the Raiders game and

If the Raiders can have a real grass field in a desert why can’t we go back to real grass especially being an Ag school.

We have a patent on the grass which we supply the Dirt Burglars.

We have a synthetic turf, and real grass blend that we sell to lots of European Soccer teams. At one time we did this for Liverpool one of the biggest club teams on the planet.

Why do we have turf over grass?

Why can’t we have grass in an East, and West Stadium?

This concerns me about Joe Bob

That first half was abysmal. Tommy Rees abused him with the short passing game and it took until halftime to make any adjustments to the game plan.

Obviously adjustments were made and the adjustments to play press coverage worked well. My issue is after 5 series into the game it was obvious what Notre Dame was doing and no changes were made.

It was very much a Bill Young soft coverage plan that we haven’t really played a lot all year.

It just raises a red flag about what could come if he gets the promotion.
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Hold your horses...some of you are missing this...

Look, no one knew what the NCAA was going to do regarding the counting of super seniors this year. Although the initial ruling was that things were returning to the normal 85 man scholarship limit, coaches had to hedge their bets in terms of roster management. Teams had to recruit full classes of players with the knowledge that the NCAA might hold the line and not make super senior seasons exempt for the overall scholarship limit. So here is what that means for Oklahoma State.

To make room for the 2022 signing class as it is, there had to be 12 offensive players currently on scholarship move on, either to the NFL, graduation, or the transfer portal. The staff has positional targets, but the final one at each position group can be moved around based on overall team need. The Cowboys had 4 offensive players exhaust their eligibility: Tay Martin, Danny Godlevske, Jaylen Warren, and Logan Carter. This means that there has to be 8 additional names that leave the program just to fit in the current recruiting class, making no allowance for a portal addition (of which there will be at least 1 on offense-more on that later) That pushes the total to 10 names, but wiggle room that could move it 1 way or the other by 1 spot.

Desmon Jackson, Matt Polk, Hunter Anthony, and Monroe Mills brought the number to 8 departures. Cade Bennett and Josh Sills made it 10. This means that there are still another 2 that will be leaving to make room for the recruiting class that have not been publicly announced. I think you could guess who those are. For each portal player that we want to recruit would mean an additional player would move on. The offense has about two more spots to work with.

The offense will carry 15 offensive linemen next season. The announced departures today of Cade Bennett and Josh Sills mean that there will now officially be room to add one offensive lineman from the portal (something that has been a goal for quite some time). So at least three more offensive players will be announced to be departing before next offseason. (You have to keep in mind that sometimes a player who will be leaving may stay the spring to graduate first to help both them and the school via APR.) When it comes time to budget slots, the staff tends to dive into the receiver position for that 1 last spot.

Generally speaking you are looking at a distribution like this: QB (3); RB (5); TE/CWB (4); OL (15); WR (11). In years where we replace a starting quarterback or have lots of inexperience, an addition slot could go there to shore things up. Since only 1 player plays at that spot at a time, the staff feels good with three quality prospects and some walk on depth. The preference is to have a running back in every class, so moving off of five would require versatility at other positions, mature backs, and quality walkons. The other position groups are where there is some room to maneuver. TE-4, OL-15, WR-10 leaves one scholarship to move around based on biggest need.

Before taking into account portal additions and the last expected departures, here is where you with the offensive roster:

QB--4
RB--6
CWB--5
OL--13
WR--12

Moving SIlas Barr over to the offensive line would put the CWB at 4 and the OL at 14, indicating one portal addition is coming. Two spots elsewhere would be opened up from the other three position groups to make room for the freshmen. Any additional movement will have a correlated portal addition headed back this way.

OSU Max idea

Not really looking for a bundle price with this idea, but maybe a way to promote other OSU content along with OSU Max.


For example $18 a month gets you OSU Max, and Corral membership (OSU Max is $8.99 a month, and I think Corral is $8.99)

This way you can pay for it in one place, and it promotes those who were going to get OSU Max to pay money here, and vice verse.

If you pay for the Corral year subscription, and OSU Max for $200 ($100 for each service for a year)

Maybe even use the same login credentials etc.

For those heathens that use Pistols Firing paid content over Rivals they could have OSU Max, and a Pistols Firing version.

Just spit balling ideas on how to help with OSU media exposure now that we run this state, and OU is leaving.

Maybe even make a Rivals/OSU Max NIL deal for OSU linemen where @MegaPoke , @Jeff J. @Been Jammin @tlwwake @liljordan082006 have to make pancakes for the 5 star linemen every gameday, and give some money from the OSU Max, rivals deal to them 😁

Also OSU Max needs an Apple TV app stat.
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Reactions: Been Jammin

NFL Coaches - Black Monday

With Nagy (Chicago), Flores (Miami) , Zimmer (MInnesota) , and Fangio (Denver) being fired you can't help but wonder how that carousel will impact more college coaches leaving programs. I am guessing Day from tOSU gets a look for the Chicago or maybe the Minnesota opening.

Speculation?

Could this be a window to grab Riley and ditch on USC? Truly an expensive undertaking but people that have that kind of money aren't afraid to spend it for the guy they want.

Interesting Exercise

I was talking to a friend of mine that is moving in from San Fransico. He was complaining about the cost of renting a U-Haul in San Fransico to Fort Worth. When I looked it up and couldn't help but laugh. Renting a 26 Foot U-Haul in San Fransico to drop off in Fort Worth is $6998.00. If you were to rent the same truck in Fort Worth to drop off in San Fransico is $847.00. I guess the exodus is real.
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