The entire front page of the sports section today was Kenny G and it was related to this article
What's ahead for Oklahoma State softball with next year's Big 12 turnover?
Scott Wright
The Oklahoman
Kenny Gajewski is a college softball poll voter this season, so the Oklahoma State coach has been keeping a closer-than-usual eye on programs from around the country.
And part of that includes Arizona, Arizona State and Utah, the trio of teams that a year from now will be OSU’s
Big 12 counterparts.
With the final games of the regular season this weekend, and the Big 12 Tournament set for this week at USA Softball Hall of Fame Stadium, the end of the conference’s current setup is near.
OU and Texas are nearly out the door on their way to the Southeastern Conference, and three new softball teams (Colorado doesn’t play softball) will be joining Big 12 country.
While the league is losing two power programs — the OU juggernaut and a Texas program that has been a reliably strong program in recent years — Gajewski likes what he sees in the Big 12’s future.
“It’s gonna be a good conference,” Gajewski said. “I’m excited about what those teams are going to bring.”
For Gajewski’s Cowgirl squad, the real excitement is in the potential to ascend the Big 12 softball throne.
Though OSU has been ranked behind Texas much of this season, the Cowgirls have mostly been in control of the series over the last five years — with one notable exception, at the Women’s College World Series two years ago when the Longhorns pulled off a pair of victories to eliminate OSU and advance to the championship series.
No one in the country has proven they can consistently compete with the current OU dynasty, though the armor has taken a few dents this year.
So, how will the Big 12 softball landscape change with the looming program turnover? Let’s take a look:
WCWS presence
When you take OU and Texas out of the equation, the Big 12 presence in OKC is all on the Cowgirls’ shoulders.
OSU and OU are the only programs in the country to have made the last four WCWS fields.
Aside from OU, OSU and Texas, only one other current Big 12 team has made multiple WCWS appearances since 2005: Baylor with three.
But Baylor’s last appearance was 2017. All three of the newcomers have at least one trip since then, with longtime power Arizona reaching three of the last four WCWS brackets.
Arizona State was last there in 2018. Now 13 years removed from the last of their two national titles, the Sun Devils are a program in disarray, but have the support system to recover.
Arizona dipped off the map last year, but has resurfaced as former star Caitlin Lowe gets her footing in her third year as coach after replacing the legendary Mike Candrea.
Utah made its first WCWS trip in nearly three decades last year, and is looking to build consistency.
So, while a couple of big brand names are going out the door, the replacements carry some potency, too.
Building up the Big 12
Another valuable factor of the three newcomers to Big 12 softball is those programs’ understanding of playing at the major-conference level.
They’ve experienced the rigors of rising to the elite level of college softball, and won’t be trying to build their programs beyond what they’ve experienced before — instead, only trying to replicate it in a new league.
That’s different from the three additions to the Big 12 for the 2023-24 season: Houston, Central Florida and BYU.
Those programs came from the mid-major level, so the challenges of joining a power league like the Big 12 was daunting enough.
But to help the league, those programs will need to step up their scheduling.
Only Baylor and Texas rank in the top 10 nationally in strength of schedule among current Big 12 members. Strength of schedule is a significant component in the Ratings Percentage Index, which heavily impacts NCAA Tournament seeding.
And it’s not simply the talent of the teams you play. The RPI also weighs the strength of the teams your opponents play. That factor has dragged down some Big 12 teams in the RPI this season.
The Cowgirls have been hovering just outside the top 10 in RPI, not strictly because of what they’ve done on the field, but also because of who their opponents have played, Gajewski says.
“I look at RPI, and what we’ve got to do is make sure everyone is scheduling good,” Gajewski said. “That’s where we’re hurting a little bit. Playing teams in the 200-plus range is a bad combo. And we’ve got some teams in our league that are still playing a lot of those games. As we know, in the RPI, it’s who you play and who your opponents play.
“One thing that (OU coach Patty Gasso) told me from Day 1, and one of the things I learned from (Florida coach Tim Walton) as well is go schedule. Go play teams. We just need everybody to be on the same page. I like where the league’s gonna go. I do. I think it’s gonna be good.”