How does a data aggregator explain a 10 point shift in a single day? Somehow yesterday the race was 54/46 in favor of Fetterman, and today its 56/44 in favor of Oz. I get that there was some shift following the poor debate performance, but that was over a week ago.
Again, it may just be personal confirmation bias, but this feels like another piece of evidence that there is a red wave coming and that the left has done all they can to try to play up Dem chances to drive their vote. But now that they are going on record (they lock their forecast tonight), they have to rebalance the scales or 538 (the left leaning alternative to RCP) will lose what little credibility it has left.
2022 Senate Election Forecast
Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 Senate elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Again, it may just be personal confirmation bias, but this feels like another piece of evidence that there is a red wave coming and that the left has done all they can to try to play up Dem chances to drive their vote. But now that they are going on record (they lock their forecast tonight), they have to rebalance the scales or 538 (the left leaning alternative to RCP) will lose what little credibility it has left.