Turnout statistics '08 '12 and '16
- Thread starter CBradSmith
- Start date
All interesting numbers. I want to hear what Nate Silver days.
Pre-Trump, I thought this would be the GOP's race to lose with Obamafatigue. Trump is such a wild card that we won't know anything until third party candidacies are sorted out.
Pre-Trump, I thought this would be the GOP's race to lose with Obamafatigue. Trump is such a wild card that we won't know anything until third party candidacies are sorted out.
To be honest, once Bernie is gone I don't see the millenials getting behind the career criminal hag. I could easily see many of them jumping on the Trump bandwagon.
This is a very underrated take and I tend to agree. Bernie fans want "different" too, and a certain % of them will view Trump less unfavorably than Hilchud. This and voter energy/apathy really make polling between Trump and Vag2016 completely irrelevant until the GE.
I think millennials generally despise him. Maybe not Bible Belt Republican millennials, but they are so sensitive to racism and bigotry you could just as easily have a backlash. I am continually amazed at how sensitive young people are to racism.
I think you are spot on regarding Cruz. He is an obvious, transparent, sociopathic demagogue of the highest order. He has lied almost on a par with Drumpf. I have never seen a politician plainly lie and exaggerate as much as him, excluding Trump.
I would rather face Cruz than Trump. That outcome is guaranteed.
" In a hypothetical general election match-up, Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton would trounce Trump’s support among millennials, claiming 37.7% compared to Trump’s 24.9%. Notably, an equally sizable share of respondents, 22.5%, said they would prefer to not cast a vote entirely. " http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/millennials-reject-donald-trump-new-poll
You are missing the point that this is a fluid situation where dynamics regarding Trump are worthless until they are actually no longer in the hypothetical.
Polls of how he will do vs Hillary today are meaningless until this thing sorts out a bit more.
I like Nate Silver. But, Trump's (seeming) triumph, and even just the fact that he has made it this far as the front runner have damaged Nate's brand and reputation.
Sys,
A lot of rural counties in Ok have more registered Democrats than Republicans, going all the way back New Deal era. The local elected officials are Dems locally but vote R in national elections. Rs outnumber Ds in Ok by 880.000 to 832,000. What happened Tuesday a lot of Reagan Ds voted for Bernie not because they're 'populist' but because they would much rather run against BS than HRC in the general. Ok may be the most conservative state in America. But Bernie-populist-socialist-dem like parts of Iowa, Wis and Minn??? Nah
38% + 25% +23% = 86%. Basically, 48% of this group is on record today as saying they won't vote for Hillary. That leaves somewhere between 25% and 52% available for Trump. What share did the R get in the last 2 elections. My guess is under 30% without looking it up. Looks like this poll shows a damn high ceiling for Trump.
There is no way 48% of young people said there was no way they are voting for Obama. This should frighten the hell out of Hillary supporters.
I can't remember when you understood that acknowledging facts was not disloyal to a world view.
Not this far out...just pointing out what the numbers say today. I would guess that in a Trump v Hillary contest that Trump gets more than Romney or McCain vs Obama. Either by larger overall share, or just fewer turn out to vote D.
That cuts deep coming from someone who has demonstrated he doesn't know the meaning of the word fact, and is, himself, a serial liar and a supporter of serial liars.
Your support of cankles crumbles any moral high ground you're trying to stand on.
Not a representative sample but, my college-age son and his buddies are all Bernie flag waivers and have put some of their money into his campaign. They pretty much hate Hillary. I really think they will just stay home in the general election voting with Bernie on the sidelines.
Where have I supported her? And despite my issues with her, she's still 150% more trustworthy than any of the prostitutes in the GOP primary right now.
Tell that to families of the Benghazi marines, not to mention the FBI investigators.
Didn't this board have a Lying B**** thread going just a few weeks ago? If not, we need to start one.
Well, someone should first work through the families of the THREE THOUSAND PLUS dead Americans from the last republican- led war. You're soon to be nominee has explained it very articulately.
Yes because somehow dumbya outsmarted her and convinced her to vote yes.
Damn, Hill being out-started by Dumbya... I'm at a loss for words. She obviously wasn't thinking with her vagina at that moment, aye cup and sys?
The.... Subject of an FBI investigation, the main character in a 13 minute video of non stop lies... Is "150%" more trustworthy than the run of the mill politicians randomly wearing republican jersies?
This is the gayest fanboy post of your sad career.
As a reference point, I'm turning 30 this year, and I believe this holds true for most of my similarly-aged liberal friends.
Dang, I believe I have found the densest thing on this planet. Hell, black holes might have nothing on you Sippy. Not that you will acknowledge reality, but I know you'll read this and cringe.
Donald - one of at least 5 on the ballot.
HilTurd - one of two on the ballot.
DERP DERP DERP
And don't look at Super Tuesday turnout figures. Seriously don't.
Republicans 8.5 million
Democrats 5.9 million
Record numbers of Republican voters in some states. You smell that Sippy? That isn't the smell of HilTurd's sweaty cankle rolls.
