ADVERTISEMENT

Qualities For Hiring A Successful Basketball Coach

OSU_Sports_Nut

All-American
Gold Member
Aug 5, 2001
4,640
2,762
113
50
Tulsa
Here is an excerpt from a write-up I did back in February of 2016 regarding the differences between a good, a great, and an exceptional coach. This post has (in detail) exactly what to look for in a successful head basketball coach.

A GOOD coach at any level knows the X's and O's of the game, can teach fundamentals to the players, can setup and create organized and purposeful practices to make each player better, sets high standards for the team and holds all players accountable, is firm and consistent with team discipline, set roles for each player and gets them to accept and flourish in their role on the team.

A GREAT coach can do all the things mentioned above, plus be a great recruiter and motivator (i.e a good communicator). In addition, a great coach knows exactly what he wants to mention to his team during a timeout (whether he called a timeout or not). The coaches who do not have a clue what to say to their team during a timeout will typically waste their time yelling at the refs or find other ways to waste time, instead of using every precious second to work on explaining any in-game strategy during a timeout. Coaches always have the option to yell at the refs during the rest of the game, so it doesn't make any sense to yell at the refs during a timeout when they have the opportunity to talk with their players. And finally, the best indicator of a great coach is watching their team in the final minutes of a close game. A great coach will have his team well versed on what to do if they are down by 2 or more, know what to do if they are up or down with fouls to give, know when to strategically call timeouts, know who and when to substitute players on offense and defense, know when and who to foul if needed (by leaving the worst free throw shooter open to catch the inbounds pass, then fouling them as soon as they touch the ball or even better doing this without any time running off the clock and without getting a technical foul). Kelvin Sampson (like him or not as a person) was great at doing this and was one of the hardest coaches to win against in the final minutes of a game. He is a great coach and was selected to help coach multiple USA basketball teams, was selected as the "Coach of the Year" at least 2x in college, coached in the NBA, and is now the head coach at Houston (he will turn that program into a winner). His negatives had nothing to do with coaching, but everything to do with recruiting violations.

EXCEPTIONAL coaches are rare. These coaches are rare because they can do all of the GOOD and GREAT things mentioned above, but also invest time teaching boys how to become men. This is done by taking time to teach players lessons (even at the expense of winning) on being respectful, hardworking, and men of good character (morals & ethics). This is what made Coach Sutton special.
 
Last edited:
I love Boynton the person and I hope he is very successful here, but great coaches learn from past experiences and make adjustments. I've said this many times, Boynton needs to put more shooting restrictions on players and do a MUCH better job of defining roles on the team. Boynton also needs to stop trying to imitate the Golden State Warriors and Villanova.

The Golden State Warriors have a bunch of Hall of Fame players who are considered some of the best shooters who have EVER played the game. On the other hand, Villanova does great job of ball movement and waiting for open 3 point shots and can get lucky when the team is playing hot. In addition, Jay Wright limits those players taking the 3 point shots to those who have proven they can actually hit those shots consistently at a high percentage and does a great job of adjusting in the game. I remember one of the games last year (2018) in the NCAA tournament where the other teams was highly contesting the outside shot so they drove to the hoop almost every play (which was a drastic change from the previous game). This got them into the lane where they made easy shots and free throws when they were fouled. That was the year they won the NCAA tournament in 2018.

Ultimately, Boynton needs to preach ball movement and to pass the ball inside to force the defense to double the post. Then once we start scoring and the defense starts doubling the post, we can kick it out for an easy uncontested three point shot or shot fake and drive to the hoop. In addition, cross screens and back screens can be used to open up guys in the paint for easy layups. Also, big guys don't always have to be in the post, we can look at mismatches game by game to find out who would be best to work in the post. Otherwise, this and our lack of defensive consistently will continue to make us a very up-and-down team (i.e. a Jekyll and Hyde team).
 
Last edited:
The quote below came from a long interview with Jalen Rose (click link at the bottom to read the full article). This quote is in response to questions about analytics role in sports and how it is changing the game. I love analytics, but it should be used as one of the tools, but not as the only tool.

The 3 point shot is a great example. I agree a good shooter should take open 3 point shots (and not contested shots way behind the three-point line). I also don't like the idea of mediocre or poor shooters jacking up threes. A current flaw of analytics currently being used is they do not take into consideration what Jalen mentions below, which is measuring 2 point shots where player gets fouled and has a chance for a three point play because they drove to the rim and got fouled. In addition, the current analytics do not take into account the role foul trouble and game flow has on teams when other teams consistently drive to the rim and put the other team in foul trouble. Anyways, here's a short clip of what he said in the interview.

But here is what you are missing. What you are not taking into account is the flow of the game. What about taking a contested three versus pump-faking, going in and getting an uncontested two, or driving to the basket and getting fouled?

The reason to me why the Rockets can’t get over the top is that when you play against them in the playoffs, all you have to do is suffocate the three-point line and contest at the rim.


https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/jalen-rose-has-a-problem-with-basketball-analytics
 
In a perfect world, a head coach would hire 5 assistant coaches with different talents and abilities. Additionally, a coach should know his own strengths and weaknesses, so they can hire excellent coaches in the areas of their biggest weakness.

Assistant Coach #1
  • A good X's and O's coach who understands in-game play calling on OFFENSE, ways to change game momentum, strategical moves (substitutions and adjustments), and how to draw up successful plays
Assistant Coach #2
  • A good X's and O's coach who understands in-game play calling on DEFENSE, ways to change game momentum, strategical moves (substitutions and adjustments), and how to draw up successful plays
Assistant Coach #3
  • A good recruiter who is possibly a former player who can really sell the program, city of Stillwater and state of Oklahoma, and be able to share their life changing experience.
Assistant Coach #4
  • A good teacher of fundamentals and someone will will set up meaningful practices to make the team better
Assistant Coach #5
  • An experienced successful former head coach from a lower division level.
 
Last edited:
You can go to the following NCAA site to compare a bunch statistics mentioned below. I created a very intricate Excel spreadsheet using team statistics to more accurately predict wins/losses in the NCAA tournament. When I first created this spreadsheet for the 2015 tournament, it accurately predicted 86% of all of the games. This included accurately predicting all Great 8 teams and 3 of the 4 Final Four teams by giving me more accurate seeding information. Anyways, after looking over this data something else started to stand out in the data. For example, EVERY team from the 2014-15 Tournament that advanced to the Final Four had these 4 data points in common. All of these teams placed in the top 50 in the following 4 categories:

1) Assist Turnover Ratio
2) Field-Goal Percentage
3) Rebound Margin
4) Scoring Margin

In other words, only the very successful teams that advanced in the NCAA tournament scored well in these 4 categories. It was the only thing they all had in common, so I determined it must be some type of indicator/recipe for sustained success throughout the tournament. Here is where these stats got my attention regarding coaching. These statics helped point out which teams were well disciplined and well coached. For example, a coach that doesn't hold players accountable and doesn't teach them the right thing to do with the ball will carelessly turn the ball over and jack up poor shots (missing more than they make). Teams like that will not have a very good field goal percentage or a good assist to turnover ratio and therefore struggle with winning consistently (Jekyll and Hyde team). Additionally, if a team doesn't win the rebounding margin, it is similar to a turnover because they are giving extra possessions to the other team. This all goes back to good coaching. A good coach will teach/preach rebounding until they are blue in the face. And finally, teams who give 100% effort from the beginning to the end of the game and coaches who know how to use timeouts to gather the troops (won't blow huge leads). Therefore, only those teams will have good scoring margins at the end of each game. In 2014-15, there were ONLY 9 TEAMS in the NCAA Tournament who ranked in the top 50 in all 4 of these measurements and here are the results.

+ Duke (won the NC) - head coach Mike Krzyzewski
+ Wisconsin (lost NC game) - head coach Bo Ryan (retired mid-season 2015-16)
+ Kentucky (Final 4 team) - head coach John Calipari
+ Michigan State (Final 4 team) - head coach Tom Izzo
+ Gonzaga (Great 8 team) - head coach Mark Few
+ Arizona (Great 8 team) - head coach Sean Miller
+ North Carolina (Sweet 16 team) - head coach Roy Williams
+ Utah (Sweet 16 team) - head coach Larry Krystkowiak
+ Stephen F. Austin (lost in 1st round) - head coach Brad Underwood

Over the years, I've added more data points and refined things in my spreadsheet including weighting categories differently. I've also noticed when there were upsets in my seedings, the team making the upset typically scored in the top 50 in one or more of these 3 categories.

1) Team Defense Efficiency
2) Blocks Per Game
3) Steals Per Game

What I was able to conclude from this information was the importance of team defense and having an athletic team with good defenders. This gave defensive teams a chance to upset much better teams. The problem with teams that are only good at defense is they never win as consistently as those teams who rank high in the other 4 categories (Assist Turnover Ratio, Field-Goal Percentage, Rebound Margin, Scoring Margin).
 
Last edited:
When we look for a new coach in the off-season, I hope the athletic department takes into consideration these analytics.

I have to give credit to Mike Holder. Even though he didn't really understand analytics, he allowed others who understood this to bring in information like this analysis to make a more informed decision.

He used my analytics to confirm their selection of Brad Underwood. However, I wish he would have used this before selecting Mike Boynton. Instead, he was wowed during the interview and decided to take a chance on somebody who had never been a head coach.
 
The secret to his success... it sounds a lot like the recruiting strategy and "culture" Gundy has created around the football program.

Jay Wright embraced a new approach that emphasized how his players thought about the game, and he brought it to Villanova in 2001. These days at the team's facility, there's ample evidence of Wright's focus on the psychological. “See, we think about every message they hear and see,” he told me on a recent tour, pointing to phrases painted everywhere, slogans like "Players play for their teammates and coaches; actors play for the crowd. We're not complex in what we do X-and-O-wise," he tells me. "But we do spend a lot of time on how we react mentally to every situation."

Wright admits that back then, when his team was first being mentioned in the same breath as Kentucky, Kansas, and UNC, he let the accolades change his thinking. He and his staff—who'd always amassed rosters of underachievers—were suddenly chasing the blue-chip recruits pursued by the ultra-elite programs. He was letting others define his program. By the 2011–12 season, Wright's team had a losing 13–19 record, the nadir of his tenure.

https://www.gq.com/story/jay-wright-villanova-the-anti-coach
 
Here are the coaches I'd want hired, but most are off the board because another school has already hired them. I don't see oSu hiring any of these guys, but I don't want oSu to settle on someone for the next 3 to 5 years just to fill the position. In the meantime, oSu can use Doug as a way to rally the fan base and bring excitement back to basketball. Additionally, he could be a stopgap measure until Bill Self or John Calipari is available in 1-3 years. Here was my list of top 5 coaches before some accepted jobs at other schools.

COACH RANKING

#1) Will Wade (McNeese State)
- He is the highest rated coach in my analytics. He has never had a losing season with an overall winning percentage of 69.3%. He has made it to the NCAA tournament in 5 out of 8 years. His team rates well on both offense and defense. He is at the top of my list. The negatives... He was terminated as the LSU coach on March 12, 2022 after the NCAA formally served the Notice of Allegations based on the investigations into the above reports of recruiting violations. On June 22, Wade was suspended for the first 10 games of the 2023–24 season and was given a 2-year show-cause penalty for his recruiting and bribery allegations. Additionally, his current team is at a much lower division and conference (Southland). Any good coaches in these lower division levels can easily outcoach their peers, which will inflate their team analytics numbers. However, he has proven in the past that he can win in the SEC.

#2 Greg McDermott (Creighton) - He's been a head coach for 30 years and his overall winning percentage is 63.1%. He's been to 13 NCAA tournaments over those years. He's won 20+ games at Creighton in 13 of 14 years and made the NCAA Tournament 8 out of 13 possible years. He coaches in a very good Big East Conference. He grades out extremely well on my analytics on offense, but fails on defense. I don't see him leaving Creighton.

#3 Dusty May (Florida Atlantic) - He has been a head coach for the past 6 years at Florida Atlantic (Conference USA). His winning percentage is 65.1%. He has never had a losing season, but he has only won 20+ games twice (last year and this year). He has only taken his team to the NCAA Tournament once and it could be twice if they make it this year (very likely). This year his team grades out really well on offense, but not so much on defense.

#4 Danny Sprinkle (Utah State) - He's only been a head coach for 5 seasons, but has never had a losing season. Four of those years were at Montana State and this is his first year at Utah State in the Mountain West Conference (MWC). During his 5 years, he has compiled a winning percentage of 69.0%. His team rates much higher on offense than it does on defense. He has taken his teams to the NCAA Tournament 3 of 4 years.

#5 Chris Jans (Mississippi State) - He was a head coach at the Juco level for 6 years (77.9% winning percentage) before moving up to the Division 1 level for the last 8 years (72.7% winning percentage). He has taken his teams to the NCAA Tournament in 4 out of 7 years. He has never had a losing season. His team grades out well on defense, but not so well on offense. He is in his second year at Mississippi State and has won 20+ games both years.
 
OFFENSIVE STATS

NOTE: If a team is rated lower than the top 70, they are assigned a score of 100.

Teams (40)CoachReb
Margin
RANK
Assist
T/O
Ratio
RANK
FG %
Offense
RANK
Scoring
Margin
RANK
Scoring
Offense
RANK
3pt %
Offense
RANK
Free Throw %Free Throw
Made
RANK
OFF
Rating
OFF
RANK
PurdueMatt Painter215169102100838.71
ArizonaTommy Lloyd3181453231001642.62
UCONNDan Hurley105153274010010058.33
GonzagaMark Few131624610010010075.44
Saint Mary'sRandy Bennett117646100100100100107.55
DukeJon Scheyer412125114312100100114.86
CreightonGreg McDermott46131922335318100127.17
James Madison (JMU)Mark Byington323137711100100100133.58
Indiana StateJosh Schertz66353168105100137.19
McNeese StateWill Wade6432201439100100137.110
BYUMark Pope2371001320100100100152.811
BaylorScott Drew31100213124510023155.312
IllinoisBrad Underwood910052231210010020162.313
Utah StateDanny Sprinkle53386304610010052162.514
AlabamaNate Oats451003326132117173.415
KentuckyJohn Calipari100117272119100175.616
HoustonKelvin Sampson44301002100100100100188.117
Grand CanyonBryce Drew36100621150100476188.418
Fla AtlanticDusty May635729361567100100202.719
TCUJamie Dixon55604646395810055208.220
DrakeDarian DeVries100123133383735100209.121
Colorado StateNiko Medved1003134810010045100226.622
Col. of CharlestonPat Kelsey51221005828100100100239.923
TennesseeRick Barnes1001010015421006546245.324
KansasBill Self100141066100100100100251.925
Texas A&MBuzz Williams710010010010010010034269.326
IowaFran McCaffery100134100141001344272.827
Iowa StateOtzelberger1004510010100100100100275.028
CincinnatiWes Miller12100100100100100100100283.829
Mississippi StateChris Jans24100100100100100100100298.830
TexasRodney Terry10064391001004244100315.131
OklahomaPorter Moser70100100691001006358319.632
NevadaSteve Alford10029100100100100614332.833
Ole MissChris Beard1005310010010031100100347.134
Wichita StatePaul Mills65100100100100100100100350.035
Texas TechGrant McCasland100611001001005917100353.936
Western Ky.Steve Lutz10010010010010064100100384.837
Kansas StateJerome Tang10010010010010010010064389.338
East CarolinaMichael Schwartz100100100100100100100100393.839
Oklahoma StateMike Boynton100100100100100100100100393.839
 
DEFENSIVE STATS

NOTE: If a team is rated lower than the top 70, they are assigned a score of 100.

Teams (40)Coach3PT %
Def
RANK
FG %
Def
RANK
Scoring
Def
RANK
Blocks Per
Game
RANK
Steals
Per
Game
RANK
T/O
Margn
RANK
DEF
Rating
DEF
RANK
HoustonKelvin Sampson1721347124.01
McNeese StateWill Wade39141003355.32
TennesseeRick Barnes4936433512594.43
UCONNDan Hurley62111310100100109.54
Saint Mary'sRandy Bennett4382100100100111.35
Iowa StateOtzelberger10023510042114.86
James Madison (JMU)Mark Byington5471001001514124.87
Grand CanyonBryce Drew10016381045100137.88
Kansas StateJerome Tang462710066100100169.79
Mississippi StateChris Jans76910010055100175.910
Utah StateDanny Sprinkle310010068100100202.311
GonzagaMark Few10015100100100100204.212
KansasBill Self10020100100100100208.313
OklahomaPorter Moser9100100100100100214.314
CincinnatiWes Miller100666649100100216.915
Western Ky.Steve Lutz100621005100100219.616
NevadaSteve Alford1005510010010039222.317
Ole MissChris Beard10010010074965230.318
BYUMark Pope33100100100100100230.319
KentuckyJohn Calipari100100100360100240.820
TCUJamie Dixon1001001001001851242.321
DukeJon Scheyer1001005210010070243.522
PurdueMatt Painter10068100100100100248.323
East CarolinaMichael Schwartz1001001001004955251.024
ArizonaTommy Lloyd10010010010038100259.525
DrakeDarian DeVries10010010010010039259.826
IowaFran McCaffery10010010010010043260.827
TexasRodney Terry10010010050100100262.528
AlabamaNate Oats10010010068100100267.029
Col. of CharlestonPat Kelsey10010010010010068267.029
CreightonGreg McDermott100100100100100100275.031
Indiana StateJosh Schertz100100100100100100275.031
BaylorScott Drew100100100100100100275.031
IllinoisBrad Underwood100100100100100100275.031
Fla AtlanticDusty May100100100100100100275.031
Colorado StateNiko Medved100100100100100100275.031
Texas A&MBuzz Williams100100100100100100275.031
Wichita StatePaul Mills100100100100100100275.031
Texas TechGrant McCasland100100100100100100275.031
Oklahoma StateMike Boynton100100100100100100275.031
 
The list of coaches below are for comparison. Some are potential candidates, some are Big 12 coaches, some are well known successful coaches from around the country. For those wanting to know more about candidates Steve Lutz (Western Kentucky) and Steve Alford (Nevada), I hope we do not hire either of them. Neither of them ranked very well against the other coaches on the list (now 40 coaches total). Steve Alford came in at number 32 just below Porter Moser. At number 36 is Western Kentucky coach Steve Lutz. His wins can be attributed to playing against worse coaches at a lower level, while also having better athletes and playing better defense (from the portal). By the way, for those wondering Mike Boynton ranked number 40 out of 40 (tired for last in the overall offensive and defensive categories).

Teams (40)CoachOFF
RANK
DEF
RANK
COMBINED
RANK
UCONNDan Hurley341
McNeese StateWill Wade1022
Saint Mary'sRandy Bennett553
HoustonKelvin Sampson1714
PurdueMatt Painter1235
James Madison (JMU)Mark Byington876
GonzagaMark Few4127
ArizonaTommy Lloyd2258
Grand CanyonBryce Drew1889
DukeJon Scheyer62210
Utah StateDanny Sprinkle141111
TennesseeRick Barnes24312
BYUMark Pope111913
CreightonGreg McDermott73114
Indiana StateJosh Schertz93115
KentuckyJohn Calipari162016
Iowa StateOtzelberger28617
BaylorScott Drew123118
IllinoisBrad Underwood133119
AlabamaNate Oats152920
TCUJamie Dixon202121
DrakeDarian DeVries212622
KansasBill Self251323
Fla AtlanticDusty May193124
Mississippi StateChris Jans301025
Colorado StateNiko Medved223126
Col. of CharlestonPat Kelsey232927
CincinnatiWes Miller291528
IowaFran McCaffery272729
Texas A&MBuzz Williams263130
OklahomaPorter Moser321431
NevadaSteve Alford331732
TexasRodney Terry312833
Kansas StateJerome Tang38934
Ole MissChris Beard341835
Western Ky.Steve Lutz371636
Wichita StatePaul Mills353137
Texas TechGrant McCasland363138
East CarolinaMichael Schwartz392439
Oklahoma StateMike Boynton393140
 
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT