How Powerful is Trump (How did his "endorsed" candidates fare)?

[hollywood]

Trump officially endorsed some 75 Republican candidates in this last election cycle. Of those 75, only 21 ended up winning. (28% success rate.) Interestingly, Trump ONLY endorsed candidates in states/districts where the Republican party had at least a 7.6% average vote advantage in the last two elections. So, that means in 54 races, the Democratic candidate not only overcame the Trump endorsement, but overcame the 7.6% disadvantage in what had been solidly Republican State/District.

Pence had better results, with right at 50% of his endorsed candidates won, in States/Districts that held just 1.7% Republican advantage.

BTW, these are the numbers before the latest called races.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixg...e-midterms-how-did-they-fare-on-election-day/

 

[okcpokefan12]

Trump officially endorsed some 75 Republican candidates in this last election cycle. Of those 75, only 21 ended up winning. (28% success rate.) Interestingly, Trump ONLY endorsed candidates in states/districts where the Republican party had at least a 7.6% average vote advantage in the last two elections. So, that means in 54 races, the Democratic candidate not only overcame the Trump endorsement, but overcame the 7.6% disadvantage in what had been solidly Republican State/District.

Pence had better results, with right at 50% of his endorsed candidates won, in States/Districts that held just 1.7% Republican advantage.

BTW, these are the numbers before the latest called races.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixg...e-midterms-how-did-they-fare-on-election-day/

From the same article, Donald Trump campaigned for 36 candidates with 21 winning their respective races (58.3% success rate). So, it appears Trump is worth 30 percentage points when campaigning instead of just endorsing a candidate. You left out the pertinent information, as always when it involves President Trump.

Since we're discussing numbers, the last president's numbers are interesting: 39 for 74 on winners he endorsed (52.7% success rate) and
13 for 24 for candidates he campaigned for (54.2% success rate). His campaigning was a whopping 1.5% gain.

 

[Medic007]

From the same article, Donald Trump campaigned for 36 candidates with 21 winning their respective races (58.3% success rate). So, it appears Trump is worth 30 percentage points when campaigning instead of just endorsing a candidate. You left out the pertinent information, as always when it involves President Trump.

Since we're discussing numbers, the last president's numbers are interesting: 39 for 74 on winners he endorsed (52.7% success rate) and
13 for 24 for candidates he campaigned for (54.2% success rate). His campaigning was a whopping 1.5% gain.

It may also be pertinent to note that Obama lost 63 House seats in his first midterm election. The 2010 election resulted in the highest loss of a party in a House midterm election since 1938, and the largest House swing since 1948. This also happened to be the Republicans' largest gain in House seats since 1938.

I think Trump did OK overall.

 

[windriverrange]

Think a more important angle is how his assistance played out in the senate races.

The following is what’s up for grabs in the Senate elections of 2020.
Republicans
Lamar Alexander (R-Tennessee)
Shelley Moore Capito (R-West Virginia)
Bill Cassidy (R-Louisiana)
Susan Collins (R-Maine)
John Cornyn (R-Texas)
Tom Cotton (R-Arkansas)
Steve Daines (R-Montana)
Mike Enzi (R-Wyoming)
Joni Ernst (R-Iowa)
Cory Gardner (R-Colorado)
Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina)
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-Mississippi) -- Hyde-Smith was appointed by Mississippi Gov. Phil Bryant to fill the seat vacated by Sen. Thad Cochran who resigned due to health issues. She competed in the 2018 special election to fill the term. The runoff contest will take place on Tuesday, November 27. A full six-year term election will be held in 2020.
James Inhofe (R-Oklahoma)
Jon Kyl (R-Arizona) -- It is expected that there will be an open special election in 2020 for the seat because Kyl has said he will not run in 2020. A full six-year term election will take place in 2022.
Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky)
David Perdue (R-GA)
Jim Risch (R-Idaho)
Pat Roberts (R-Kansas)
Mike Rounds (R-South Dakota)
Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska)
Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska)
Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina)
Democrats
Cory Booker (D-New Jersey)
Chris Coons (D-Delaware)
Dick Durbin (D-Illinois)
Doug Jones (D-Alabama)
Ed Markey (D-Massachusetts)
Jeff Merkley (D-Oregon)
Gary Peters (D-Michigan)
Jack Reed (D-Rhode Island)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Tina Smith (D-Minnesota) -- Smith was appointed by Minnesota Gov. Mark Dayton to fill the vacancy created after Sen. Al Franken decided to resign.

 

[Marshal Jim Duncan]

Trump officially endorsed some 75 Republican candidates in this last election cycle. Of those 75, only 21 ended up winning. (28% success rate.) Interestingly, Trump ONLY endorsed candidates in states/districts where the Republican party had at least a 7.6% average vote advantage in the last two elections. So, that means in 54 races, the Democratic candidate not only overcame the Trump endorsement, but overcame the 7.6% disadvantage in what had been solidly Republican State/District.

Pence had better results, with right at 50% of his endorsed candidates won, in States/Districts that held just 1.7% Republican advantage.

BTW, these are the numbers before the latest called races.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixg...e-midterms-how-did-they-fare-on-election-day/

How well did Trump do in the races he campaigned hardest on in the closing days of the campaign? Vs. Obama? Vs Elizabeth Warren?