per this poll: http://www.investors.com/politics/t...t-going-into-debate-in-ibdtipp-tracking-poll/
Which was given a grade of A- by Nate Silver & Five Thirty-Eight.
Which was given a grade of A- by Nate Silver & Five Thirty-Eight.
Hmmm... Trump Up 1 heading into Debate...
- Thread starter Marshal Jim Duncan
- Start date
By his evaluation, for poll accuracy:
IBD/TPP #1
Google Consumer Survey #2
RAND (current LA Times poll) #4
(out of something like 20-25 total polls)
Currently:
IBD/TPP - Trump +1.3 (4 way) - current as of 10/19
LA TIMES - Trump + 1.6 - current as of 10/19 - http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/
Google Consumer Survey - Hillary + 6.32 (3 way) current as of 10/15
Google Consumer Survey - Hillary + 4.97 (when allowing Undecideds and Other)
(Hill 38.29, Trump 33.32, Undecided 19.3, Johnson, 7.01, Other 2.08)
I parsed the state data within Google and found a lot of interesting information.
First, I only segmented the 3 way polling with Gary Johnson the only other option. (Trump + Hillary + Johnson = 100%)
Second, it's nowhere near a 6.32% split within contested states.
A few examples:
AZ, CO, FL, IA, MI, NC, NH, OH, PA = Hillary + 2.05 46.48 - 44.43
OH + NC + IA + FL = Trump + 2.66 47.32 - 44.66
Lastly, there are some interesting findings at the state level:
State Hill Trump Johnson
AZ 50.97 39.08 9.95
MO 52.21 37.10 10.69
CO 55.05 30.32 14.63
IN 48.58 41.57 9.86
MI 45.46 45.49 9.04
PA 47.51 44.09 8.40
IL 47.47 42.44 10.09
WI 55.46 35.95 8.60
UT 31.86 45.13 23.01
NV 42.14 44.34 13.52
OH 44.65 46.07 9.28
FL 44.74 47.47 7.79
NC 44.97 48.50 6.53
IA 43.24 47.22 9.53
(I don't know how to link an easily clickable hyperlink to the Google data. I had to log in through my own Gmail account and it migrated the data to datastudio.)
https://goo.gl/QKSKGx
https://datastudio.google.com/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/YgS
IBD/TPP #1
Google Consumer Survey #2
RAND (current LA Times poll) #4
(out of something like 20-25 total polls)
Currently:
IBD/TPP - Trump +1.3 (4 way) - current as of 10/19
LA TIMES - Trump + 1.6 - current as of 10/19 - http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/
Google Consumer Survey - Hillary + 6.32 (3 way) current as of 10/15
Google Consumer Survey - Hillary + 4.97 (when allowing Undecideds and Other)
(Hill 38.29, Trump 33.32, Undecided 19.3, Johnson, 7.01, Other 2.08)
I parsed the state data within Google and found a lot of interesting information.
First, I only segmented the 3 way polling with Gary Johnson the only other option. (Trump + Hillary + Johnson = 100%)
Second, it's nowhere near a 6.32% split within contested states.
A few examples:
AZ, CO, FL, IA, MI, NC, NH, OH, PA = Hillary + 2.05 46.48 - 44.43
OH + NC + IA + FL = Trump + 2.66 47.32 - 44.66
Lastly, there are some interesting findings at the state level:
State Hill Trump Johnson
AZ 50.97 39.08 9.95
MO 52.21 37.10 10.69
CO 55.05 30.32 14.63
IN 48.58 41.57 9.86
MI 45.46 45.49 9.04
PA 47.51 44.09 8.40
IL 47.47 42.44 10.09
WI 55.46 35.95 8.60
UT 31.86 45.13 23.01
NV 42.14 44.34 13.52
OH 44.65 46.07 9.28
FL 44.74 47.47 7.79
NC 44.97 48.50 6.53
IA 43.24 47.22 9.53
(I don't know how to link an easily clickable hyperlink to the Google data. I had to log in through my own Gmail account and it migrated the data to datastudio.)
https://goo.gl/QKSKGx
https://datastudio.google.com/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/YgS
Trump losing in Utah, to whatshisname.
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_98fe8b3559f64960a573ecad7dc22ec9.pdf
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_98fe8b3559f64960a573ecad7dc22ec9.pdf
I think it could possibly happen. I posted about it last week. McMullin is from Utah, BTW, and is Mormon.
He actually has a lot more skeletons than a national campaign could handle, which is why he is very localized.
I prefer to support a guy that gets his hands dirty than a man/woman that orders it done and then points fingers at those that do the work.
Maybe that is true, I don't know.
I am all for the assassination of foreign leaders, despite the agreed upon rules, if it saves hundreds of soldiers' lives. Political leaders are the ones that came up with the rule that killing soldiers is okay but the assassination of political leaders is not.
