This link got buried in the other thread.
https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/united-states-freezes-japanese-assets
https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/united-states-freezes-japanese-assets
That is one of the best write ups on this subject I have read in while. I would agree with the conclusions as well. It becomes a series of cascading events in which both parties don't understand each other. Ironically it is now Japan we understand better and support and China now the party we don't understand and are at odds with.Did the US deliberately provoke Japan to attack them or was it done unknowingly?
Benjamin Miller, M.A. History & Asian Studies, University of Chicago (2016)
This is a question I’ve heard from students a number of times, and the answer is yes and no. If you’ll indulge a lengthy post, I’ll explain.
The United States did provoke the Japanese attack, in the sense that it initiated on its own account diplomatic and economic pressure that the Japanese found increasingly intolerable, but it did not do so with the intention of starting war.
The Second Sino-Japanese War broke out in 1937, and became something of a quagmire for the Japanese - it sucked increasing amounts of money and men into it, costing tens of thousands of casualties, and taxing the Japanese economy heavily. As the Japanese couldn’t come to satisfactory terms with the Nationalist Government, and “peace without honor” wasn’t politically palatable, the Japanese were unable and unwilling to disengage.
The United States was immediately hostile to Japanese incursions into China - due in part because Japan’s aggression was perceived as a parallel to concurrent German aggression, and in part because the expansion of the Japanese sphere of influence in East Asia was incompatible with American interests - and imposed a series of escalating economic embargoes on Japan beginning in 1938. These embargoes were explicitly meant to curtail Japan’s willingness and capacity to prosecute the war against China.
Naturally, these embargoes were a source of increasing tension between Japan and the United States. In the first case, they impaired Japan’s import-dependent economy, and hampered its ability to supply its armed forces. Depending on the material in question, it imported something between 2/3 and 4/5 of its needed strategic material from the U.S. alone. In the second case, the embargoes were perceived by many in continuity with major American diplomatic breaches against Japan (1919 and 1924).
In 1940, the Japanese expanded the conflict by assuming control of a number of airfields in what is northern Vietnam (and by the end of the year would be in effective possession of French Indochina), which alarmed the Americans - it meant that they’d open another front against China, increasing the likelihood of victory, and that Japan’s strategic position was greatly enhanced at the expense of Euro-America. The U.S. responded with the Export Control Act of 1940, which suspended the export of important aviation fuel and equipment along with a variety of industrial minerals and chemicals to Japan. By fall of that year, the embargo was expanded to include steel and scrap metal. Petroleum was not included.
This is the important bit: from the American perspective, this was the escalation of diplomatic pressure in pursuit of its interests. From the Japanese, it was an existential threat, and induced something approaching quiet panic among the highest levels of Japanese government.
Should the embargoes have remained in place, or expanded, the Japanese would have burned through their strategic reserve, which in turn meant that their economy would have collapsed, and their capacity to support the half-million some odd troops in China would evaporate. So, in late 1940, the Japanese undertook a two-pronged approach, engaging in diplomatic negotiations to secure these essential resources on the one hand, and preparing to seize them by force on the other.
It’s important to understand that while Japan was not at all optimistic that its diplomatic efforts would be successful, both it and the United States undertook these negotiations in good faith. Though the Japanese were preparing for large-scale military operations, they were in fact prepared to disengage at a very late date, and the costs of the aborted operations would have been worth it to secure their supply lines through a diplomatic agreement. It’s difficult to overstate how much they really didn’t want to get into a war with the U.S.
The U.S., for its part, had a somewhat more complicated attitude toward the Japanese. While there were some in the Roosevelt administration who viewed war with Japan as desirable/necessary/inevitable, the practical necessity and political support for war weren’t taken fore-granted. And there is certainly no evidence (and quite a bit to the contrary) that the U.S. was attempting to goad the Japanese into a war at all, much less as a pretext for entering the war in Europe.
Despite mutual lack of interest in war, the fact of the matter was that the U.S. and Japan pursued mutually incompatible agendas, and approached these negotiations with little to no space for concessions. The Japanese didn’t appreciate the degree to which the War in Europe contextualized the American attitude toward the War in China, and assumed that the Americans would either give way, or have little stomach to fight. The Americans didn’t understand how intractable the Japanese position in China was, or how provocative their embargoes were, and the Roosevelt administration simply assumed, at least until late 1941, that the Japanese would back down. Relations between the U.S. and Japan steadily deteriorated throughout 1941 until the U.S. escalated their embargoes by suspending the export of petroleum to Japan. The British had also piled on their own embargoes by this point as well. That was pretty much the point of no return for Japan, and though negotiations continued through out November, the Americans had pretty much realized the the Japanese wouldn’t give, and that war was imminent.
Now, the question as to whether or not the U.S. provoked Japan is often asked as an extension of conspiracy theories that the Roosevelt administration required a pretext to join the war against Germany in the face of staunch isolationism. Such theories are absurd. Setting aside the fact that Germany’s declaration of war on the U.S. in honor of its alliance with Japan was hardly certain (removing the linchpin of such a plot), such theories are completely unsubstantiated.
The fact of the matter is that the Pacific War was the product of a prolonged period of deteriorating relations between the Great Powers, which itself was the result of longstanding and conflicting strategic interests. Japan was certainly the aggressor in the particular, but perceived its actions as a response to general U.S. provocations.
Did the US deliberately provoke Japan to attack them or was it done unknowingly?
Benjamin Miller, M.A. History & Asian Studies, University of Chicago (2016)
Despite mutual lack of interest in war, the fact of the matter was that the U.S. and Japan pursued mutually incompatible agendas, and approached these negotiations with little to no space for concessions.
The Americans didn’t understand how intractable the Japanese position in China was, or how provocative their embargoes were, and the Roosevelt administration simply assumed, at least until late 1941, that the Japanese would back down.
The fact of the matter is that the Pacific War was the product of a prolonged period of deteriorating relations between the Great Powers, which itself was the result of longstanding and conflicting strategic interests. Japan was certainly the aggressor in the particular, but perceived its actions as a response to general U.S. provocations.
My concern with these types of articles is that they start to soften up the image of what was Japan in the 20's, 30's and WWII. The Japanese were absolutely brutal in their treatment of anything not Japanese.
Most of the general public, thanks to the deficit in public education regarding history, will start to see the Japanese as being goaded into war and if they were goaded into war then what the allies did to Japan during the war and especially dropping nuclear weapons was unjust. This is where the baseline on articles like this are headed IMHO
what a monday morning quarterback pile of intellectual dog feces
sanitized version of historical events driving an agenda that provides no account for the demonic animal that was the WW2 era imperial japanese military
start with the rape of nanking so you have some semblance of emotional understanding of the times
then read this drivel