This may be hard to swallow for those #TrumpForever sycophants on this board.
https://reason.com/archives/2018/04/05/trump-the-anti-business-president
https://reason.com/archives/2018/04/05/trump-the-anti-business-president
There is only one mention of China in the entire article, in the second paragraph, saying Trymp’s tariff have led China to respond in kind, so I’m not real clear why you began your response with a tirade against China.The Chinese are rip off artists and lying rat bastards when it comes to intellectual property. Whatever you think of Trump (which appears to be not much) he is shifting the paradigm and doesn't seem to be worried what "the experts" think. I don't have any issues, personally, with him hammering US businesses some of them deserve it. Does that make me a Trump sycophant?
BTW when an article starts out with the following title......
Trump, the Anti-Business President
Donald Trump is a perpetual danger to every company in America.
Well, I have to call BS on the whole premise and the hysterics associated with the title and article. Somewhere someone is saying "We're Doomed!"
Ponca I get all that about Trump....a saint he ain’t, cut throat business guy definitely. The article indeed mentions the Chinese once, but much of the whole tariff deal is aimed at China and virtually no one else.
I made a personal decision awhile back to not buy things from China or Mexico, if you do I’ve got no issue with that. I also won’t spend my hard earned money vacationing in Mexico or liberally run blue state shitholes.
As a wider argument I think governments/entities that steal intellectual property and or practice unfair business practices (don’t have time to go into it here but the Chinese government just shut down one our sister companies plants, in China. Stole the design, built their own plant producing the exact same product and coerced the workers to leave one plant and work for the Chinese run gig) should be regulated and or shut out of the US market. Guess I’m curious as to why you think those types of groups should get the same seat at the table as those who don’t steal intellectual property?
Just don’t see him as a threat to liberty (not like he has weaponized the IRS and Justice dept). Guess that’s not much of an argument, but (and I’m not saying you do) don’t see this as the “sky is falling” type deal. Time will tell though. I’m not a sycophant though and while he has done some things I applaud, he has also done some incredibly short sighted things that make me cringe.
As I re-read the article it appears these guys seem to be beating trump up while throwing soft balls at the ex rodent in chief. At least trump doesn’t really use acolytes to push his message.
The administration's effort to block travel from several predominantly Muslim countries brought a lawsuit from some 160 tech firms warning it would impose "substantial harm on U.S. companies, their employees, and the entire economy." His crackdown on undocumented immigrants disrupts agriculture because, as the American Farm Bureau Federation notes, "50-70 percent of farm laborers in the country today are unauthorized."
That para alone is total crap! Tech firms want to hire cheap labor from foreign countries with H1B1 visas, they don’t give a crap about America workers. Did the travel ban (or would it) cause “substantial harm on US companies, their employees and the entire economy.” Sound pretty dire almost alarmist (the eunuch R’s did the same thing for instance with obysmalcare) and I seriously doubt true. Who were these 160 tech firms?
Are we suppose to not crack down on ILEGAL BORDER JUMPING CRIMINALS (undocumented immigrants usage here tells me there is already an agenda) because of their agricultural contributions? I don’t mind paying more for fruits and veggies knowing that my money is not being sent via western union, to support a corrupt Mexican or Central American government.
You can make all your arguments w/o the article by the way. The people writing the article are pushing an agenda, advocating continued acceptance of law breaking and soft balling the ex-rodent in chiefs same schemes, via different means.
I was headed to bed when it struck me where you are making your mistake with this article. You are assuming if someone criticizes Trump thst means he defends Obama. You are seeing only two sides, and if a person take a stand against the antics of one side that means he’s a player for the other team. You are not understanding the libertarian position. Libertarians are not on either team, in fact most of us despise both teams. Libertarians have only one political policy agenda: defend individual liberty against all comers. Regrettably both “teams” represent a direct threat to liberty. This author has not chosen one of the statist sides. He criticizes them both. Knowing that maybe you can read the article without the emotional attachment of a team player. (I apologize if I sound condescending. That is not my intention.)Oy, where to begin! The article has very harsh words for Obama and his tactics. Read it again! He’s saying Trump is showing potential to be even worse, which has caught the business community completely off guard. They thought he would be more “capitalist” than he has shown so far.
Tech firms do NOT want to hire cheap labor from foreign countries, that’s an urban myth. They want to hire the brightest minds available so they can stay ahead of the competitive curve. The best educated, brightest minds come from all over the globe, and so they recruit all over the globe. Would you rather Chinese tech companies hire them?
The illegal border-jumping immigrants are responsible for a sizable chunk of our food supply. Chasing them back to where they came will have a huge impact on that industry, causing untold chaos in getting the food we eat to market. That’s the point of the article. We have relied on those illegals to cultivate and harvest our food for decades. It may be more of a case of the food not being available for you to pay more. Much of it may be left to rot in the fields.
Your last paragraph is a supreme disappointment. You are reading the article with the intention of refuting what he says rather than objectively paying attention to his argument. He is not soft balling Obama, he rips him. He is not making an argument on behalf of illegal immigration, he’s pointing out how dearly the agricultural industry relies on it. He is pointing out that industries have spent years - decades! - developing international supply chains, and Trump is sadistically threatening them.
Take a deep breath, read the article a third time with the intention of listening to what he’s actually saying, not what you think he’s saying.
he’s not the preferred candidate of either established party.
As a wider argument I think governments/entities that steal intellectual property and or practice unfair business practices (don’t have time to go into it here but the Chinese government just shut down one our sister companies plants, in China. Stole the design, built their own plant producing the exact same product and coerced the workers to leave one plant and work for the Chinese run gig) should be regulated and or shut out of the US market. Guess I’m curious as to why you think those types of groups should get the same seat at the table as those who don’t steal intellectual property?
I think you’ve pretty well nailed it, except I would quibble slightly with one point. I do not think the primary reason American companies attach themselves to the Chinese government is for lower labor costs (although that us a fine secondary reason). The prime reason, as I see, it is they want access to over a billion prospective new customers. Other than that I agree with you.This is a common refrain. For a long time now.
I'm asking this not to be adversarial, but I'm having a tough time getting my head around Biff's actions with China. They're thugs, they steal, have no respect for intellectual property, I get all that and it's offensive to me and I'll accept that it's worthy of retaliation. BUT.
We're supposed to protect American businesses that know that dynamic exists and still wade in, knowing the risk, so they can save labor costs? I mean, nobody makes these american businesses hand over their trade secrets and technology over to a known thief. So start a trade war to protect the bottom line of american businesses that get in bed with an authoritarian regime to save American labor costs? What am I missing here?
I’m with you on your happiness that Hillary lost. I don’t vote, refuse to participate in choosing my overlord, but I admit I danced a little jig of happiness when I saw she lost.Heck no you don’t sound condescending Ponca! I really do enjoy your input....I don’t like either team either, as others say here opposite sides of the same coin. I’ll re-re-read tomorrow and see what I’m missing. I suspect though we are closer together than not.
My attachment to Trump is twofold. One he isn’t Hillary and second he’s not the preferred candidate of either established party. I love flies in the ointment or as JB says, turds in the punch bowl. He still has a plethora of time to screw up or not screw up though, I’m just not seeing his actions currently, in the same light as the authors of the article.
This takes a somewhat circuitous route to bolster my point, but it discusses various reasons why manufacturers make the decisions they make. It explains the miscalculation that American companies have made in dealing with the Chinese government.I think you’ve pretty well nailed it, except I would quibble slightly with one point. I do not think the primary reason American companies attach themselves to the Chinese government is for lower labor costs (although that us a fine secondary reason). The prime reason, as I see, it is they want access to over a billion prospective new customers. Other than that I agree with you.
Ponca I get all that about Trump....a saint he ain’t, cut throat business guy definitely. The article indeed mentions the Chinese once, but much of the whole tariff deal is aimed at China and virtually no one else.
I made a personal decision awhile back to not buy things from China or Mexico, if you do I’ve got no issue with that. I also won’t spend my hard earned money vacationing in Mexico or liberally run blue state shitholes.
As a wider argument I think governments/entities that steal intellectual property and or practice unfair business practices (don’t have time to go into it here but the Chinese government just shut down one our sister companies plants, in China. Stole the design, built their own plant producing the exact same product and coerced the workers to leave one plant and work for the Chinese run gig) should be regulated and or shut out of the US market. Guess I’m curious as to why you think those types of groups should get the same seat at the table as those who don’t steal intellectual property?
Just don’t see him as a threat to liberty (not like he has weaponized the IRS and Justice dept). Guess that’s not much of an argument, but (and I’m not saying you do) don’t see this as the “sky is falling” type deal. Time will tell though. I’m not a sycophant though and while he has done some things I applaud, he has also done some incredibly short sighted things that make me cringe.
but at some point you have to ask yourself, whose side are they really on?
Let's play out a trade war hypothetically to the nth degree.
Let's assume that China places a 1,000% tariff on anything coming from the US into China. And let's assume that we place an equal 1,000% tariff on anything that comes from China into the US.
The US economy would rock along fine without China goods, albeit with some inflation. The Chinese economy would literally implode into anarchy and deep depression without the US consumers buying their cheap shit. That hypothetical is a no-brainer and very true
Well, if they were screaming and hollering against a trade war they would be on your side, the side of the American consumer. I am shocked you don’t seem to understand that.The Chinese would starve pretty quickly creating civil unrest. I’m pretty sure Trump views this as a side-benefit anyway. Sure the Media is going to scream and howl about big bad meanie DJT and wreckless this or that but at some point you have to ask yourself, whose side are they really on?
This comment belies an almost complete misunderstanding of international trade. In the scenario you describe the world’s economy would be devastated. Maybe the US economy would not be hurt as badly as China’s (a debatable proposition), but to assume the US economy would “rock along fine” is a preposterous assumption. International supply chains would take decades to recover. Your scenario would far more likely be the cause of a world wide depression.
As a full time practicing and degreed economist, I simply disagree. China has abused us and you know it. North America and Europe have the capital resources and liquidity (and resourcefulness) to do without chinese goods. the economic growth in N. America and Europe to replace the lost goods (alone) would overshadow any loss of production from exports, by a factor of 10.
Most people forget that we exchanged a production based economy for an intellectual property based one, and the only thing that changed in that period of transformation was we gave up low value production to China and kept high value IP.
On an $800.00 iPhone, how much of the value in that supply chain do you think China is capturing? Less than $12.00. It would be a pain in the ass to reproduce that $12.00 and it might have to double to $24.00, But the $800.00 doesn't go to $1,000, but merely to, maybe, $815.00. Get granular in every one of these scenarios and you'll not panic in a doomsday scenario,
Well, if they were screaming and hollering against a trade war they would be on your side, the side of the American consumer. I am shocked you don’t seem to understand that.
For the record, John, my contention has never had anything to do with a product being cheaper for the American consumer, although that is a happy consequence of countries like China taxing their citizens in order to subsidize some of their companies so they can sell their products cheaper to us. My “libertarian” argument has always been that the American consumer should be able to buy the product he most desires without interference from governments.I am shocked that literally every opinion you have is based on is good X, Y, or Z cheaper or more expensive with the American consumer if a policy is enacted, rescinded, or continued. Maybe not shocked as you are true to your libertarian beliefs and I respect that. However, do you not see that in the real world (not a philospical world), just because an IPhone, TV, or other consumer electronic is cheaper, that doesn’t necessarily mean that’s good for the greater society as a whole or national interest?
Our Gov has created exactly what it wanted through cheaper goods: people do not have to save very much to buy incredible pieces of indoctrinating technology and therefore become sheep.
As an economist you surely understand that the US does not trade with China. US companies trade with Chinese companies. Government intervention in private trade negotiations produce nothing more than uncertainty and confusion. The scenario you provide would create utter chaos. To think otherwise is myopic.
Let’s make an example. Let’s say the US company, XYZ Corporation, has discovered a new way to produce widgets, an invention that will increase its market share exponentially and take widgets into new markets previously unreachable. XYZ has done detailed research into the various components required to produce their new widgets, and have learned a company in Portugal manufactures the perfect component that will assure the widget is the finest widget that can be made. They negotiate with the Portuguese company and come to a mutually satisfactory contract. The Portuguese company will now have to expand its operation just to make the incredible increase in the demand for their product. But the equipment they need for this expansion is made n Australia. Negotiation ensue between the Portuguese company and the one from Australia. The Australian company relies on a product from Brasíl, and the Brazilian company needs imports from Ireland. The Irish company relies on raw materials that are found in Sweden. The equipment the Swedish company uses to mine the ore is comprised of components that come from Canada. And on and on and on. When government throws a wrench in the gears of this supply chain chaos follows. Companies from around the globe are placed in a situation of uncertainty. Do they expand in hopes it will all work out, or do they sit tight? To suggest otherwise is really short sighted.
You and I can agree that artificial manipulation of trade is very bad. And that is EXACTLY what China has been doing for a very long time. Your assumption that we are starting at a level playing field is what is extremely short sighted.
In your world, where we are today on a static basis is the proper baseline by which to make comparisons. All of the companies....in all of the countries....that you mention in your hypothetical......have ALL been manipulated by China.
If China would allow the global free market to decide such basic things as their own currency fluctuation rates, then I would be in full agreement. But they don't play fair. They never have. And it isn't such a bad thing to make some moves to force their hand into doing so.
And to use your words, to suggest otherwise is really short sighted
Are you at liberty to go into more detail about the incident with your sister company? What kind of products do they offer, etc...?
You and I can agree that artificial manipulation of trade is very bad. And that is EXACTLY what China has been doing for a very long time. Your assumption that we are starting at a level playing field is what is extremely short sighted.
In your world, where we are today on a static basis is the proper baseline by which to make comparisons. All of the companies....in all of the countries....that you mention in your hypothetical......have ALL been manipulated by China.
If China would allow the global free market to decide such basic things as their own currency fluctuation rates, then I would be in full agreement. But they don't play fair. They never have. And it isn't such a bad thing to make some moves to force their hand into doing so.
And to use your words, to suggest otherwise is really short sighted
So your response is to simply let them continue the abuse without repercussions? OK
I got granular in your tongue and cheek post on Texas/Oklahoma/California/China post.
Please tell me those EXISTING imbalances that are MATERIAL are ok with you. If they are, then there's really nothing else I can say.
In your world, China's complete disregard for free trade is ok, but our desire to force them into free trade is not. Ok
There is an 18% disparity between combined tax/tariff rates on US/China trade. Correcting that imbalance IS NOT retaliating by levying tariffs.
Answer it this way to use an extreme example: If that imbalance were 50% in tax/tariffs, would you consider correcting that imbalance a new tariff?![]()
In "my world" China's complete disregard for free trade is immaterial. Free trade works. Every time. Whether the other side practices it or not. Government manipulation does not work. Ever. China is playing with a ticking time bomb. If they want to ruin their economy, all we can do is explain the error of their way, then sit back and watch the explosion. It would be an error on our part to follow their path in an attempt to "force" them to change. The market will do that soon enough. It doesn't need our help. So for that reason I wouldn't care if China imposed a 1000% tariff on American products (as per your original hypothetical), I would not advocate for the American government to respond in kind.
Yes, you've made that your position very consistently. We will have to agree to disagree.
If country A sells one kind of product (let's say tee shirts and underwear) and country B doesn't make that product at all. In fact country B liquidated all of its tee shirt and underwear factories.
And country B sells a totally different kind of product (let's say software required to even have basic livable functions). Country A does not have the ability to produce this software, which is absolutely required to even function.
So Country A charges a 50% tax to Country B for the purchase of tee shirts and underwear and Country B charges no fees, taxes or tariffs on the purchase of the software. Then worse, Country A steals the software code and literally pays nothing for the privilege.
In your world, that is ok and there SHOULD NEVER be any repercussions to Country A, because somehow magically Country A will end up punishing itself. Ludicrous and where you and I will never agree. Country A will not be harmed at all.....ever.....by its own trade practices.
In my world an astute businessman would make haste to Country A and start up a software company. I think (and I stress I think, because, as I have said before, I don't know), if you are referring to China "stealing" software code, you are being pretty liberal with your words. I am of the understanding China insists companies voluntarily hand over the software code before it will allow the company to pursue business in its country. You are a professional economist, what would your advice be to the CEOs of those companies? Would you not see a giant red flag? Would you not feel a little sheepish running to Uncle Sam to bail you out after you made such a colossally stupid mistake? Why should American taxpayers and consumers pay the price for your stupidity? I run a small business, a TINY business. Should you be required to bail me out every time I do something stupid? That would be a very sweet deal for me, because I do stupid things every day of the week!
Your understanding is incorrect, and I know first hand. I have been in the venture capital and private equity business for 35 years. China does NOT wait for companies to voluntarily hand over IP in JV discussions. They systematically, consistently and regularly pilfer, steal and commandeer intellectual property, assets and value. They do it before and during negotiations and, even worse, after definitive agreements are in place. I am not being liberal with my words. That is just fact. It is not just software, but hardware, branding, and all else that goes into the building of value. Your voraciousness in defending them is getting very interesting to me.