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Balderson wins

Now he has to turn around and do it all again in November.
 
Which will likely be easier...special elections can be tricky due to low turnout.

Not a ton of reason to roll out for a special election if you lean R, know the Rs hold a 20-30 seat lead in the House, and know it's all gotta be done again in 2-6 months. Hell, I wouldn't.

I'm sure as hell rolling out in November, though.
 
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