This year there is an interesting divergent path for some teams on the two main advanced metrics I like to look at... The first is Bill Connelly's S&P. S&P is the play-by-play data for an individual team. The second is FEI by Brian Fremeau. FEI is a drive-based measurement that focuses on the results on drives rather than each individual play. Both of these are opponent adjusted analytics.
For OSU, S&P is 54th in the country. It gives us an 11% chance to win against WVU. In fact, according to it, we won't win another game on our schedule but Kansas. @ ISU is a 42% chance to win. S&P rates our offense as 47th in the country, defense as 66th.
FEI rates us as 20th team in the country. 23rd in game efficiency and says we win 8 games overall, including giving us 64.4% chance of winning this weekend. The opponent adjusted offensive/defensive stats won't be available until after week 7 for FEI, but here's what we know un-adjusted:
OSU is 17th in net points per drive @ 1.3. This is the difference between offensive PPD and defensive PPD. They are 15th in offensive PPD (2.88), 43rd (5.11) in value drive (drive reaches opponent 40), and 3rd (3.44) in long drives (drives starting inside own 20).
So my question is, I've always preferred FEI because it measured what actually matter (IMO), which is points on the board. What are your thoughts?
For OSU, S&P is 54th in the country. It gives us an 11% chance to win against WVU. In fact, according to it, we won't win another game on our schedule but Kansas. @ ISU is a 42% chance to win. S&P rates our offense as 47th in the country, defense as 66th.
FEI rates us as 20th team in the country. 23rd in game efficiency and says we win 8 games overall, including giving us 64.4% chance of winning this weekend. The opponent adjusted offensive/defensive stats won't be available until after week 7 for FEI, but here's what we know un-adjusted:
OSU is 17th in net points per drive @ 1.3. This is the difference between offensive PPD and defensive PPD. They are 15th in offensive PPD (2.88), 43rd (5.11) in value drive (drive reaches opponent 40), and 3rd (3.44) in long drives (drives starting inside own 20).
So my question is, I've always preferred FEI because it measured what actually matter (IMO), which is points on the board. What are your thoughts?
