Obviously you can't score decimal points, but S&P predicts Texas 34-32. Keep in mind, S&P is play-by-play analytics, not drive analytics (FEI) or the two advanced metrics combined combined (F/+). Overall win probability for Texas is 56.3%. It essentially sees this game as a toss-up.
For the season S&P is 15-12 at predicting games with a 50-59% win probability.
It's also still early in the season enough that advanced stats (even with preseason data) are volatile. I'll try to have a comparison graphic up sometime before Saturday morning of the advanced metrics.
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/20...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
Massey also calls the game a toss-up. 51% win probability for us there.
http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=5912&s=279541
For the season S&P is 15-12 at predicting games with a 50-59% win probability.
It's also still early in the season enough that advanced stats (even with preseason data) are volatile. I'll try to have a comparison graphic up sometime before Saturday morning of the advanced metrics.
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/20...t=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
Massey also calls the game a toss-up. 51% win probability for us there.
http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=5912&s=279541
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