She's never has to earn her own way, even her campaign dollars were earned by someone else.
2024 Election - Electoral College Predictions
- Thread starter tlwwake
- Start date
What are the stats? 90% of her crowds are paid to be there, at a rate of $750 a week?
That adds up fast.
I wish we could backtrack this billion$'s and see how much, if any, was our tax dollars being laundered into blueact.
Heard she gave Beyoncé $10MM to speak for 6 minutes.
It’s good work if you can find it.
More than likely, they got her assurance that the Diddy tapes will never see the light of day.
Last report I saw Act Blue had raised 1.5 billion dollars for Democrats for this election cycle. They claim this is all small dollar donations but as we have seen reported there is very good reason to be highly suspect of those claims.
Now that Republicans in Congress are investigating these reports, I'm sure, like everything else they investigate, the investigation will go no where.
The amount of money spent on political campaigns is mind blowing. Even more mind blowing is people do not think those campaign donations are anything other than investments that expect returns.
I believe Harris is going to win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania which will give her the 270 she needs to be elected President.
I also think she wins Nevada, North Carolina, and Georgia giving her 308. I think Arizona is still winnable for her, but I'm going to give it to Trump.
So a Harris win, anywhere from 270 to 308.
Thanks for the prediction!
So of the 7 swing states, you have her winning 6.
Bold prediction but I definitely see all the swing states swinging together on Election Day
I don't really know if is a bold prediction, I thought I was making a rather safe prediction. A bold prediction would be claiming Harris is going to win some states no one expects her to win.
While I'd like to do that, at this point, I'm playing it safe and giving the polls the benefit of the doubt, for the most part. Although I'm not convinced many of them have the voting sample correct for this election and I also recognize how Republicans have flooded the polling data with Republican-leaning polls this election cycle.
Winning 6 of the 7 swing states is absolutely bold given most every pollster has this as a coin flip election
But it’s absolutely plausible. Excited to see it all unfold on Tuesday.
If you say so.
btw, every pollster doesn't have every one one of these swing states as a coin flip. Only when the Republican-biased polls are included in the averages does it become more of a coin flip, according to the averages.
Trump will win every state before Kamala wins 6 of 7 swing states LOL
To be fair, pubs are currently leading in Oregon and New Jersey, so....
Both of which include Republican-biased polls, especially RCP.
What? Most polls have Trump leading or tied in all swing states. The only ones that have Kamala leading are the throwaway lefty polls like Marist and Quinnipac, both of which you have promoted here before LOL
Let's see what Rasmussen says, as they are actually an accurate and credible poll:
Yep, most polls have Trump winning over 300 EVs.
Depending on how well the RNC does in stopping the left from cheating, 350-400 is possible.
What makes a poll 'republican biased' in your mind? Having Trump performing better than Marist does? LMAO!
So you admit there are polls that show Kamala Harris leading. Thanks.
You just dismiss them as "throwaway lefty polls."
But those Republican leaning polls, you don't throw them away, now do you?
No, Rasmussen is a Republican polling firm. Everyone knows this.
Do you?
lol, "cheating." There it is.
You should be ashamed of yourself. But you aren't.
With that said, you just claimed Trump could win 350-400 electoral votes. Ok. We shall see.
Actually no, they don't include all the polls, including all the left-leaning polling.
I'm not sure this is true of RCP anymore. 538?, more so than RCP, I'll give you that.
Again, I told you, I'm giving these polling averages the benefit of the doubt with my prediction. Although I do have some reservations about the polling data this cycle.
Of course. There's many. Vast majority of are crap pollsters like Marist and Quinnipac. Both of which you have proudly promoted here before LOL
I throw away bad polls.
Rasmussen are credible pollsters. Trafalgar are credible pollsters. AtlasIntel are credible pollsters. InsiderAdvantage are credible pollsters.
Don't take my word for it, listen to lefty site 538:
All in the Top 5 in terms of accuracy according to lefty site 538.
Note where the polls you always tout are at the bottom: Marist, Morning Consult, WaPo, Quinnipac, etc. These polls also frequently say Kamala is leading.
As I said, they are bad polls. And you love them cause they tell you what you want to hear.
Why would I be ashamed of myself? The cheaters and their supporters are the ones dipped in shame. That's you, brother.
Credible pollsters on X are saying what they are seeing in the numbers reminds them of the 1980 election. Reagan got over 400 EVs, so sounds about right.
Why did you just reply to something that @tlwwake didn't say? LOL He didn't say they had ALL the left leaning polls, he said they had some.
And they do.
You actually made a good point, and you don't even realize it.
Early voting is showing us that Republicans are MASSIVELY winning low propensity voters. @my_2cents those are voters who rarely or never vote. These often aren't polled, and they are breaking for pubs, bigly.
Creates a perfect storm: If the left doesn't cheat, then Trump wins a massive landslide, well over 400 EVs.
If they DO cheat, they have to cheat so egregiously that even you wouldn't defend it.
Catch 22. Enjoy the show
Again, you are claiming right-leaning firms are "credible" while dismissing any other poll as not credible. Rasmussen is clearly a right-leaning firm, so is Trafalgar and AtlasIntel. And these firms are not as accurate as you are claiming either.
You just aren't being honest, with yourself or others.
Take Trafalgar for example. Their polls were not accurate in 2022. They showed numerous Republican Senate candidates either ahead or much closer than they ended up actually finishing. A late October 2022 Trafalgar poll had Washington Democratic Senator Patty Murray only up by 1.7%. Murray won her election by almost 15%.
Yeah, not accurate at all.
I'm going off 538's list. Wick is also in the Top 5 according to them. I don't care which way you think they lean, if they have a proven record of accuracy, I will listen to what they have to say.
Rasmussen does. Trafalgar does. AtlasIntel does. InsiderAdvantage does.
If Morning Consult, Marist and Quinnipac had a history of being credible, I would listen to them too. But they don't. In fact all three are laughably bad.
All three give great polls for Kamala. Which is why you love them and hate the 'right-leaning' polls.
You just want to be told that Kamala is winning, you don't care about the accuracy of the pollster. I want accurate information.
That's the difference between us.
This is why you love your Republican-leaning polls. Again, you are projecting.
I'm just giving you another perspective on the polling and it clearly is making you uncomfortable. Which it should.
Because you sound like a fascist and not an American.
You won't accept an election that Harris wins without claiming she cheated. You won't accept any presidential election as valid unless your candidate, Trump, wins.
The fascist crap you believe and repeat is dangerous and un-American. You should definitely be ashamed of yourself. Stop trying to create a dictatorship in this country.
No one who is claiming this is going to be like the 1980 election is credible. Wake up.
And if Trump doesn't win this many EVs, you will claim cheating. If Trump loses you will claim cheating.
We've already established this. You will never accept a Harris victory. You will immediately claim the election was stolen and there was cheating.
And this is again, why you should be ashamed of yourself. Or at least be honest and admit you are a fascist who wants Trump to just be a dictator.
I like accurate polls. That's why I go by the Top 5 on the 538 list. I could care less which way they lean, as long as they give accurate results.
Rasmussen, Trafalgar, AtlasIntel and InsiderAdvantage all do. The polls you love that have Kamala up do not. If they did, I would use them too.
Then don't worry bro.
I dunno man, I think the cheaters and their supporters are the ones that should be ashamed.
But you don't. You only accept Republican-leaning polls as accurate.
Stop lying.
None of these polls have a proven record of accuracy. I just showed you how Trafalgar was wrong in 2022.
Trafalgar had Murray only up by 1.7% in her Senate race. She won by almost 15%. Trafalgar was not accurate. Not at all.
Again, you are projecting.
You are the one only accepting Republican-leaning polls while dismissing every other poll. You are the one wanting to believe that Trump is going to win like Reagan did in 1980. And if Trump doesn't, you are going to claim cheating.
It is absolutely absurd.
FTFY
I'm not worrying.
Spoken like the fascist that you are.
@my_2cents this is a textbook example of how the media hoodwinks people like you that want to believe a lie. They give you the lie you want to hear:
OH noes! Pubs are just cannibalizing their ED votes!
Ralston knows better.
Low propensity voters are breaking massively for pubs.
Trump wins NV in a walk. Prepare now for disappointment. Listen to me and you will get the facts.
OH noes! Pubs are just cannibalizing their ED votes!
Ralston knows better.
Low propensity voters are breaking massively for pubs.
Trump wins NV in a walk. Prepare now for disappointment. Listen to me and you will get the facts.
Ok.
Ok. So again, why are you worried?
Show me an accurate left-leaning poll that I am dismissing.
And when he doesn't? When Harris wins Nevada, will you accept that she won Nevada?
Or will you claim she cheated and stole Nevada?
What polls do you consider "left-leaning"?
Is there a left-leaning poll you believe is accurate? If so, name it.
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